🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 16:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 19:28 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 5/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · William Hill · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 16lb. 11lb below career-high OR 79.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 17:27 · 7 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 15lb. 10lb below career-high OR 79.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.62
BSP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
