At 07:30 on 16 September 2026, 18 bookmakers cut Nizam from 20/1 to 12/1 in the 16:12 at Yarmouth. The race returned an SP of 26.00, making the alert price -50% better than SP, or -3.8 probability points. It finished 10 of 11, beaten 24 lengths.
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Yarmouth · 16:12 · 11 runners · Handicap
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• First-time tp.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 98.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Fired 07:30, 16 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:30 on 16 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
18 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• First-time tp.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 98.
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 26.00 · Beat SP: No
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
