HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 18 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7963 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Captain Parma
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 78.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Calm Flight Ahead
Downpatrick · 14:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Polly Poppins
Downpatrick · 15:22 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatListed
Fluorescence
Ayr · 15:05 · 14 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Starliner
Ayr · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes
14 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 9lb below career-high OR 74.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Mr McWhinny
Newton Abbot · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/6
Still 4/5 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 86.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Perfect Judgement
Dundalk (AW) · 19:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 11 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
God of Fire
Newton Abbot · 17:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
King Cherry
Wolverhampton (AW) · 17:10 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Kom Tu Voudras
Newton Abbot · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
12 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Garden Maze
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:02 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Midnite · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Onyeisi
Dundalk (AW) · 20:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Lunar Blossom
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:02 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Yaajooz
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Without Love
Dundalk (AW) · 20:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Dundalk (AW). 1/9 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Renesmee
Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:15 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Kiss Cam
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:02 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Hello Johnjoe
Downpatrick · 15:22 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Weleyff
Newbury · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betano · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Tavernise
Dundalk (AW) · 18:00 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Perfect Hope
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
4 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/4 (2.44)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-30% better than SP · -12.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Ifuknowuknow
Downpatrick · 17:37 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Glorious Kitty
Ayr · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Invincible Oscar
Downpatrick · 15:22 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Beat The Devil
Dundalk (AW) · 19:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 9/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Dundalk (AW). 1/12 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Daonethatgotaway
Dundalk (AW) · 19:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Boyle Sports
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Dundalk (AW). 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Son of Hypnos
Newton Abbot · 17:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Harpy Eagle
Downpatrick · 15:57 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Loz Vegas
Newbury · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +18.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Rule Me In
Newton Abbot · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Brother Walfrid
Downpatrick · 15:57 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · BetWright · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 120.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Hadahi
Downpatrick · 17:37 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+87% better than SP · +12.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Elarak
Newbury · 16:07 · 8 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Thaloria
Dundalk (AW) · 18:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Dundalk (AW). 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Uisce Domhain
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:02 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Impasto
Newbury · 15:32 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Queens Bandit
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:02 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 43% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+113% better than SP · +14.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Jumeirah Storm
Newbury · 14:57 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Guitar Star
Downpatrick · 17:37 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChase
Pralognan
Downpatrick · 16:28 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 98.
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 18 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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