🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 4/5 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 86.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Sedgefield · 15:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 4/5 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.91
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 3lb below career-high OR 86.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Worcester · 17:33 · 10 runners · Handicap
5 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
