At 07:54 on 18 September 2026, 4 bookmakers cut Mr McWhinny from 4/5 to 4/6 in the 16:55 at Newton Abbot. At the time of the alert, 4/5 was still available at Bet365 and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 1.53, making the alert price +20% better than SP, or +10.7 probability points. It won by 8.
🔵 TOP Chase HANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 4/5 at 2 firms when alerted
4 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 86.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Fired 07:54, 18 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:54 on 18 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
4 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
4/5 at Bet365 · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 86.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 1.53 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
