HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 18 September 2026 · HorseWhale

7963 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Symphony's Song
Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:15 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lady Magu
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Sweetwonderfulyou
Newbury · 14:22 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Nightsinwhitesatin
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newbury. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
The Pipeman
Dundalk (AW) · 18:00 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 6/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+125% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Cyclone Code
Dundalk (AW) · 17:25 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Sept · lost
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Horace Wallace
Wolverhampton (AW) · 20:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Farhh Echo
Newton Abbot · 17:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Monologue
Dundalk (AW) · 17:25 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/1 → 7/1
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Smarkets · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
War Chest
Newbury · 13:47 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
4 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdle
Yeld To Call
Newton Abbot · 14:37 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Walk On Harry
Dundalk (AW) · 17:25 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Penelope's Sister
Ayr · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/16 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Tambora
Newbury · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Pavilion End
Dundalk (AW) · 19:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Broadway Honey
Newton Abbot · 15:47 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Doyen Og
Downpatrick · 14:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Littlecote
Newbury · 16:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Luan
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Wolverhampton (AW). 1/3 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Powder Monkey
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · Quinn Bet
19 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 74.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +16.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Starflow
Dundalk (AW) · 19:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-46% better than SP · -7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ice Cube
Ayr · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+152% better than SP · +25.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdle
Mr Master Mac
Downpatrick · 15:57 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Downpatrick. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Georginas Jet
Downpatrick · 15:22 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Downpatrick. 1/2 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +5.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lilly Lux
Wolverhampton (AW) · 19:15 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Flashy Boy
Newton Abbot · 15:47 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Hanney Boy
Dundalk (AW) · 17:25 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 95.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Gordons Girl
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:02 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+145% better than SP · +14.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Printing Money
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:35 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+160% better than SP · +21.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Tommo's Queen
Wolverhampton (AW) · 16:02 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-30% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Learning
Newbury · 14:22 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChase
Sea Of Doubt
Downpatrick · 16:28 · 12 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Downpatrick. 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 8lb below career-high OR 101.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Empirestateofmind
Ayr · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · 10 Bet
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Ayr. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 23lb below career-high OR 90.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Numantia
Dundalk (AW) · 20:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.85)
SP: 1.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +21.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Captain Parma
Wolverhampton (AW) · 18:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 78.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Motawaared
Ayr · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Calm Flight Ahead
Downpatrick · 14:12 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatListed
Fluorescence
Ayr · 15:05 · 14 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Starliner
Ayr · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes
14 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Ayr. 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 9lb below career-high OR 74.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Polly Poppins
Downpatrick · 15:22 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 18 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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