Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 11 August 2026 · HorseWhale

9206 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 16:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 11.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:27, 10 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Kempton (AW) · 15:00 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
BSP: 11.09
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:57, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 19:27 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
25 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
BSP: 7.60
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:54, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 18:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill
7 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.80
BSP: 1.90
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:54, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 17:45 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
4 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.54
Beat SP: No
-30% better than SP · -14.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:54, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 16:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano
5 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 5.17
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:51, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 18:27 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 28.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:47, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 15:15 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
50/1 → 28/1
26 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 81.00
BSP: 150.00
Beat SP: No
-64% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:47, 10 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Kempton (AW) · 14:30 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 3.75
BSP: 4.37
Beat SP: Yes
+87% better than SP · +12.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:29, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 15:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.80
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:29, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 14:45 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · PricedUp Bet · BetTom · 10 Bet · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.83
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:18, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 16:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Coral · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Virgin Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds · 7Bet · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.60
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:56, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 18:15 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 5.84
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:53, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 14:45 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 5.60
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:50, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Ballinrobe · 17:57 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Virgin Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 6.20
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:47, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 20:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 11/1
Still 12/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite · Quinn Bet
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 14.14
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:47, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 15:45 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 18.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:26, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · BetTom · 10 Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.25
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:20, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 16:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 6.80
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:17, 10 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Kempton (AW) · 14:30 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
33/1 → 22/1
26 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+283% better than SP · +12.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:14, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet Victor · Virgin Bet · talkSPORT BET · LiveScore Bet · Betano · 7Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
BSP: 11.68
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:23, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 14:45 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
26 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 26.00
BSP: 37.76
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:20, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Windsor · 20:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/6
4 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/6 (1.65)
SP: 1.53
BSP: 1.56
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:20, 10 Aug 2026
Flat
Windsor · 18:45 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
26 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 23.00
BSP: 32.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:17, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Ballinrobe · 19:57 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
24 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.88
BSP: 3.33
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:17, 10 Aug 2026
Flat
Ayr · 14:15 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
William Hill · Unibet · BetTom · 10 Bet · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.50
BSP: 3.76
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:17, 10 Aug 2026
Flat
Ayr · 14:15 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfred · PricedUp Bet · 10 Bet · CopyBet
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
BSP: 10.92
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:17, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 20:30 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 11/1
Still 12/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Coral · Ladbrokes · CopyBet · PricedUp Bet
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 15.32
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:14, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Ballinrobe · 17:57 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
24 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished BD
Alert price: 17/2 (9.75)
SP: 8.50
BSP: 11.83
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:14, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 20:30 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:14, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 16:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Betfred · Star Sports · 10 Bet · Virgin Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Dragon Bet · PricedUp Bet · BresBet · BestOdds · Quinn Bet
4 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:05, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 16:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
26 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 4.93
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:02, 10 Aug 2026
Flat
Ayr · 14:15 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
26 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 11.89
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:59, 10 Aug 2026
Flat
Windsor · 18:45 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/1 → 4/5
Still 1/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Star Sports · PricedUp Bet · BetTom · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Quinn Bet
4 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/10 (2.10)
SP: 1.73
BSP: 2.08
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +10.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:53, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
26 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 6.94
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:50, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 20:30 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 5.60
Beat SP: Yes
+160% better than SP · +12.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:32, 10 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · BetTom · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 8.27
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:32, 10 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Ayr · 13:45 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet
5 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 1.91
BSP: 2.04
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:32, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 18:27 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 34.00
BSP: 72.69
Beat SP: No
-44% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:20, 10 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ballinrobe · 18:57 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · PricedUp Bet · 10 Bet · Quinn Bet
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 21.83
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:17, 10 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Browse all receipts