Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 11 August 2026 · HorseWhale

9213 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

HurdleHANDICAP

Chanceitlucky

Ballinrobe · 20:30 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 21.00
BSP: 36.30
Beat SP: No
-38% better than SP · -2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:17, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Max Meridius

Ballinrobe · 18:57 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
BSP: 5.03
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:11, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Moonshine Girl

Ballinrobe · 20:30 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Bet365 · William Hill · PricedUp Bet · Midnite · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BresBet · BestOdds

15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 7.86
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:11, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Pilgrims Walk

Ballinrobe · 20:30 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · PricedUp Bet · Midnite

15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 14.53
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:11, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lorca's Waltz

Ayr · 15:15 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 8.80
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:08, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ravenscraig Castle

Ayr · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 22.56
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:08, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Run For The Border

Ballinrobe · 19:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 9/4

25 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.60
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -5.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:02, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Cool Summer

Ballinrobe · 18:57 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
PricedUp Bet · Midnite

14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.89
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:59, 10 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Fly Smartly

Ayr · 13:45 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · William Hill · Star Sports · BetTom · 10 Bet · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite · Quinn Bet

4 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.70
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:59, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ziata

Ayr · 15:15 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

26 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 18.00
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:56, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Shady Bay

Windsor · 17:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

26 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 5.88
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:56, 10 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Thunder Goddess

Windsor · 19:45 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

26 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 17.00
BSP: 22.56
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:50, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Sidiriya

Ballinrobe · 18:57 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

14 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 7.71
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:47, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Northwest Passage

Ayr · 15:15 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.75)
SP: 9.00
BSP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:47, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Maxident

Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 9/1

Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · PricedUp Bet · Quinn Bet

25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.29
Beat SP: Yes
+267% better than SP · +24.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:44, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Rumi Rock

Ballinrobe · 19:57 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

12/1 → 11/1

Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · PricedUp Bet · Quinn Bet

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
BSP: 14.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:44, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Gainsville

Ballinrobe · 19:57 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 85/40

Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Quinn Bet

17 firms had already cut to 85/40 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.20
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:44, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Naturalia

Ayr · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.60
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:35, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Atlantic Gamble

Ballinrobe · 18:27 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.50
BSP: 10.50
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:35, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Napolian

Ayr · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 7/1

25 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
BSP: 9.76
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:32, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Flightofthephoenix

Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 12 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Bet Victor · Star Sports · BetTom · 10 Bet · talkSPORT BET · Betano · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · Midnite

12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 4.80
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -7.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:32, 10 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Desert Smoke

Ayr · 13:45 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.00
BSP: 9.78
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:29, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Chemdawg

Ballinrobe · 18:27 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.63
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:26, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Henery Hawk

Ayr · 15:45 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

26 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 15.07
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:26, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Divine Believer

Ballinrobe · 17:26 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
BSP: 15.97
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:23, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

No Bother Aoife

Ballinrobe · 17:26 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 7.50
BSP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:20, 10 Aug 2026

Flat

Goldtrader

Windsor · 18:45 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

Still 25/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)

Permanent record · Fired 10:17, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Royal Blaze

Ayr · 16:45 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Betfred · BetTom · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · BetAhoy · Octobet

10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:17, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Desert Belle

Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · talkSPORT BET · Betano · PricedUp Bet

25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.50
BSP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Head For Freedom

Ayr · 15:45 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 24.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Walkingmayotomilan

Ballinrobe · 19:57 · 14 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetAhoy · Octobet

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.50
BSP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Just An Hour

Windsor · 17:45 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · PricedUp Bet · BetTom · 10 Bet · BetWright · CopyBet · BetAhoy · Octobet · BestOdds · Midnite

9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.25
BSP: 3.64
Beat SP: Yes
+69% better than SP · +12.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

How's Ellie

Ballinrobe · 17:57 · 15 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

1/2 → 2/5

Still 1/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Bet365 · BetTom · BetWright · BetAhoy · Octobet

8 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 4/7 (1.57)
SP: 1.83
BSP: 2.15
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -9.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Minella Buoy

Ballinrobe · 17:26 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

25 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
BSP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:14, 10 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Playfull Warrior

Kempton (AW) · 15:00 · 12 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

8/1 → 6/1

26 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
BSP: 6.54
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 10 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Find Your Fire

Kempton (AW) · 15:00 · 12 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet

21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
BSP: 8.60
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 10 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Strange Currency

Ballinrobe · 19:27 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 4/1

25 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 15.00
BSP: 17.50
Beat SP: No
-67% better than SP · -13.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Edmond Halley

Ayr · 15:45 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports

10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
BSP: 4.30
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 10 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Ashina

Ayr · 13:45 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 20.80
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 10 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ghost Story

Kempton (AW) · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

26 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
BSP: 6.16
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:11, 10 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts