FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 13:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/1 on Soft.
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +14.9 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ripon · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/2 on Good To Soft.
• Up 18lb. 20lb below career-high OR 82.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 16:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
PricedUp Bet
26 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.33
BSP: 4.93
Beat SP: Yes
+62% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
