Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 27 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8742 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Jon Riggens

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cool Azul

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BresBet · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite

17 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Avec Grand Plaisir

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +8.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 27 Aug 2026

HurdleMAIDEN

Wait At The Gate

Newton Abbot · 16:42 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 27 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Man Oh Man

Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 8/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+131% better than SP · +8.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Coast

Ffos Las · 15:37 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

50/1 → 25/1

24 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 45.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Freedom Bay

Lingfield (AW) · 16:22 · 13 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets

13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 27 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Premier Fantasy

Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright

19 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Risks

• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 103.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

King Of Fury

Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 20/1

Still 33/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Southwell (AW). 2/4 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+79% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Mayflower Rock

Ffos Las · 15:37 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

17/2 → 7/1

23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 27 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Jack The Savage

Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 27 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Knightsbridge

Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

2/1 → 13/8

Still 2/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

16 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 27 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Touchwoodexpress

Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Paddy Power · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

This That

Navan · 15:14 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · BetMGM · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright

17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Desert Treasure

Lingfield (AW) · 15:52 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet

8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +7.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Tofino

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Please Don't Go

Lingfield (AW) · 14:52 · 4 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/2 → 2/1

Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · BetMGM · William Hill · 7Bet · BetTom · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets

11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +15.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Kody B

Carlisle · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Sarasota Blue Blue

Carlisle · 14:30 · 11 runners · Other

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Matchbook

19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Symphony's Song

Ffos Las · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 62.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:09, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Ridger

Ffos Las · 15:37 · 6 runners · Other

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Takeitorleaveit

Ffos Las · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Merrijig

Ffos Las · 16:07 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 10/3

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom

12 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 13lb below career-high OR 76.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Royal Duke

Carlisle · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Invincible Boy

Carlisle · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 7/1

Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rikki Tiki Tavi

Carlisle · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 27 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Donnie Azoff

Newton Abbot · 19:42 · 2 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/6 → 4/7

Still 4/6 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

5 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted

Why it rates

• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 8/11 (1.74)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Currumbin

Southwell (AW) · 21:00 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 5/2

Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · BetTom

19 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Up 8lb. 10lb below career-high OR 72.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Nour

Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rogue Attraction

Carlisle · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Carlisle. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 86.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Town Queen

Carlisle · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +8.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 27 Aug 2026

Flat

Night Of Gold

Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

5/6 → 8/11

Still 5/6 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite

5 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Harry Mole

Carlisle · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 10/3

Still 7/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom

8 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bincimbal

Carlisle · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets

14 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +7.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 27 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Quick Sharpener

Newton Abbot · 19:12 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +5.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 27 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

It's A Breeze

Newton Abbot · 19:12 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 9/4

Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · 10 Bet

15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Why it rates

• Newton Abbot. 2/4 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ella's Gold

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Go Out

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 27 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Gower Prince

Newton Abbot · 18:12 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright

11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Better Yet

Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power

7 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 27 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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