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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 27 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8748 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Wild Terrain
Ffos Las · 14:37 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 76.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
No More Pino
Lingfield (AW) · 14:22 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +9.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Seed Ya Later
Ffos Las · 14:37 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 17/2
Still 9/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+69% better than SP · +6.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Miraculous
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Southwell (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 13lb below career-high OR 87.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Flashy Boy
Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 10 Bet
20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ask Peter
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Chalk Mountain
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Buxted Reel
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +11.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
El Morjan
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +10.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hill O Rue
Carlisle · 16:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 64.
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lordsbridge Grey
Southwell (AW) · 21:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 5lb below career-high OR 70.
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mr Noble
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Linden Lane
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
My Girl Katie
Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/6 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Emerald Bay
Carlisle · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Final Entry
Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
22 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 98.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
Black Chiffon
Lingfield (AW) · 15:22 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Beaming Light
Southwell (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
25 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Thickthorn Tom
Newton Abbot · 19:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Minaun View
Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 27 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Scrappetalene
Lingfield (AW) · 14:52 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
10 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gotta Catch'em All
Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 75.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+167% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Up The Jazz
Carlisle · 14:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 29lb. 7lb below career-high OR 75.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Whiskey Galore
Lingfield (AW) · 14:22 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-54% better than SP · -9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ten Clarets
Carlisle · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 3 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Last Flight
Ffos Las · 16:07 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Millhone
Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
General Assembly
Lingfield (AW) · 15:52 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Better Off Alone
Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Paddy Power · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Centara
Newton Abbot · 18:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/7 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haaderr
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mick's Spirit
Lingfield (AW) · 15:52 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Lingfield (AW). 3/11 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Annandale
Carlisle · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 6lb below career-high OR 64.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Mcgregors Charge
Newton Abbot · 19:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Style King
Lingfield (AW) · 15:52 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Idyllic
Carlisle · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · BetTom · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Massimo Blue
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 2/5 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+66% better than SP · +16.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Magical Life
Lingfield (AW) · 14:22 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 58.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
Diamondsinthesand
Ffos Las · 15:37 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
23 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Ffos Las. 1/6 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 12lb below career-high OR 58.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Go Vince Go
Carlisle · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 27 Aug 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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