Rogue Attraction · Carlisle 15:30

Published 27 August 2026 · Updated 27 August 2026 · HorseWhale

At 08:57 on 27 August 2026, 17 bookmakers cut Rogue Attraction from 11/4 to 5/2 in the 15:30 at Carlisle. At the time of the alert, 11/4 was still available at Bet365, Betfred, BetMGM, Star Sports, Matchbook, Smarkets, 10 Bet, BetTom and Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 3.75, making the alert price +7% better than SP, or +1.7 probability points. It finished 2 of 7, beaten 0.3 lengths.

Graded receipt

FlatHANDICAP

Rogue Attraction

Carlisle · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Carlisle. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 86.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Fired 08:57, 27 Aug 2026

What this record shows

This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.

Alert recorded

08:57 on 27 August 2026

Horse and race

Rogue Attraction · Carlisle · 15:30

Observed move

11/4 → 5/2

Qualifying bookmaker movement

17 bookmakers had cut when alerted

Earlier price still recorded

11/4 at Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

Context at the time

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Carlisle. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 4lb below career-high OR 86.

Outcome and grade

PLACED · SP: 3.75 · Beat SP: Yes

HorseWhale history

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A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.

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