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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 27 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8727 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Daytona Lady
Southwell (AW) · 20:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
13 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
King's School
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
50/1 → 25/1
Still 50/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 50/1 (50.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
In A Hurry
Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 16/1
Still 25/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 50/1 (55.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
The Holy Apostle
Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Arcland
Navan · 17:24 · 22 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
Pride Eye
Lingfield (AW) · 16:22 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 6lb below career-high OR 55.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-22% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rhodes Runner
Ffos Las · 14:37 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetTom
12 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:51, 27 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Winday
Ffos Las · 16:37 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/4 → 1/1
Still 5/4 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
7 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:45, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Fast Steps
Ffos Las · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Comfort Line
Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 6lb. 12lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
My Mate Beattie
Southwell (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 22/1
Still 40/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sporting Hero
Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-44% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
Market Leader
Southwell (AW) · 19:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +10.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Alfred Tennyson
Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Smoke Them Out
Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mary Shoelaces
Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 12/1
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Downonmainstreet
Ffos Las · 14:37 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 73.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
By The Lake
Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 10/1
Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-34% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Amiata
Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 88.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tales Old As Time
Ffos Las · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
24 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 27 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Jungle Tina
Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 81.00
Beat SP: No
-77% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 27 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Always Magic
Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Dragon Bet
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 27 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Southern Boulevard
Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 27 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Abletai
Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 27 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Atlantic Bridge
Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/4 → 11/8
Still 7/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +21.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ten Of Clubs
Lingfield (AW) · 14:22 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Grand Pier
Ffos Las · 17:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 14 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
Outer Edge
Ffos Las · 15:37 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 60.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Prince Of Peppard
Navan · 13:44 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Irish Fusilier
Lingfield (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hale Bopp
Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Breaking Cover
Newton Abbot · 18:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 7Bet · BetWright · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/5 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
King Cherry
Lingfield (AW) · 16:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
New Image
Southwell (AW) · 19:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Epidavros
Carlisle · 14:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 17lb. 8lb below career-high OR 74.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sanafi Zabeel
Carlisle · 14:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 24lb. Career-high OR 68.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lord Ragnar
Southwell (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sovereign Cry
Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 27 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Back Down Under
Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 14lb. 6lb below career-high OR 84.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 27 Aug 2026
Flat
Sundiata Keita
Ffos Las · 15:37 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 18lb below career-high OR 67.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 27 Aug 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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