🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hamilton · 15:00 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Midnite
4 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 13lb below career-high OR 61.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 3/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/9 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 61.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Carlisle · 16:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Ayr · 18:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
Still 11/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Coral · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Virgin Bet · LiveScore Bet · PricedUp Bet
7 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 13.00
BSP: 16.98
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
