Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 14:28 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Paddy Power · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 78.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 16:05 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 96.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+158% better than SP · +18.9 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 13lb. 4lb below career-high OR 125.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+106% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 13:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 16:25 · 5 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Flat
Curragh · 16:15 · 17 runners · Other
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Curragh. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 16:05 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Sandown. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (2.98)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
7Bet · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Cartmel · 14:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 2/4 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 17:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 17:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betano · BetTom · BresBet
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+150% better than SP · +27.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Sandown · 17:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+117% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 10/3 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 97.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
FlatListed
Windsor · 18:30 · 8 runners · Listed
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:55 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:55 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
FlatMAIDEN
Goodwood · 15:45 · 8 runners · Maiden
Still 3/1 at 17 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
FlatGroup 3
Curragh · 13:53 · 10 runners · Group 3
4 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
HurdleHANDICAP
Cartmel · 14:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. 12lb below career-high OR 107.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
ChaseHANDICAP
Cartmel · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetWright · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 14:28 · 6 runners · Handicap
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 14:55 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Betfred · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
7 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Beverley. 2/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -5.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Paddy Power · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Beverley. 2/9 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
FlatGroup 2
Goodwood · 15:10 · 7 runners · Group 2
Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.05)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +14.8 probability points
FlatGroup 3
Curragh · 15:40 · 14 runners · Group 3
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Betano · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Cartmel · 14:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
FlatGroup 3
Curragh · 15:40 · 14 runners · Group 3
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Betfair Sportsbook
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Curragh. 2/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Chepstow · 19:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:00 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 5/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Betano · Midnite · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
FlatGroup 3
Curragh · 15:40 · 14 runners · Group 3
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Curragh · 16:50 · 19 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Flat
Goodwood · 13:25 · 13 runners · Other
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betano · BetWright · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. 5lb below career-high OR 99.
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Goodwood · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -9.1 probability points
HurdleHANDICAP
Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
