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Toca Madera

HorseWhale has recorded 3 money events for Toca Madera since 29 August 2026: most recently on 22 September 2026, when 7 bookmakers cut it from 10/3 to 3/1 at Beverley. It won.

3 money events since 29 August 2026 · 1-1-1 after money (graded alerts only)

Published 29 August 2026 · Updated 22 September 2026 · HorseWhale

🔵 TOPFlat
Toca Madera
Beverley · 15:15 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 22 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Toca Madera
Doncaster · 14:20 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 12 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Toca Madera
Goodwood · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 97.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +12.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 29 Aug 2026

Runs

DateCourseRacePosMarginSP
22 Sept 2026BeverleyFlat1Won by 0.3L3.25
12 Sept 2026DoncasterFlat12Beaten 7L6.00
29 Aug 2026GoodwoodFlat2Beaten 1.5L2.88
22 Aug 2026YorkFlat16Beaten 7.25L19.00
19 Aug 2026YorkFlat3Beaten 2.25L6.00
1 Aug 2026GoodwoodFlat5—26.00
28 Jul 2026GoodwoodFlat4—12.00
11 Jul 2026AscotFlat12—29.00
28 Jun 2026CurraghFlat6—4.33
6 Jun 2026DoncasterFlat1—2.25
23 May 2026YorkFlat3—7.00
14 May 2026YorkFlat11—34.00
2 May 2026ThirskFlat7—5.00
9 Aug 2025AscotFlat9—6.50
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