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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 29 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Coincidental Glory
Curragh · 16:50 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tony Montana
Goodwood · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betano · BetWright · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. 5lb below career-high OR 99.
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dream Composer
Goodwood · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -9.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 29 Aug 2026
Flat
Loughrea
Curragh · 16:15 · 17 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Curragh. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 29 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Drombeg Lad
Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+109% better than SP · +9.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 29 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Roysse
Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tawaazon
Curragh · 16:50 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sea Palace
Chepstow · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
9 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 29 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Morning Mayhem
Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 29 Aug 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Tall Trees
Sandown · 13:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Regalian
Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 5/1
25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Zamond
Cartmel · 14:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 100.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Virtual Rock
Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Banderas
Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 1lb below career-high OR 117.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
My Chiquita
Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Cartmel. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+131% better than SP · +13.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Son
Beverley · 16:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 2/1
17 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. 19lb below career-high OR 98.
• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
Calendar Girl
Sandown · 14:50 · 10 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rosemary's Rose
Chepstow · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
Flat
Bulletsnap
Windsor · 16:30 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/4 (3.30)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +3.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Supreme Clarets
Beverley · 16:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
Velozee
Curragh · 15:03 · 5 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Curragh. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Vintage Clarets
Beverley · 13:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · Smarkets
12 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatGroup 3
Rock Montreal
Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
One Night Thunder
Beverley · 16:10 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.75)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +9.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Scoro
Cartmel · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-50% better than SP · -5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Al Mootamarid
Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 17/2
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 29 Aug 2026
NH Flat
You Be Lucky Jean
Sedgefield · 19:50 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 15lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +10.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:25, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Pride Of Nepal
Goodwood · 19:28 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 17lb. 1lb below career-high OR 70.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:19, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Chosen Shant
Wexford · 19:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Wexford. 2/7 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:34, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Velvet Goldmine
Goodwood · 18:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
16 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:10, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Double Power
Fontwell · 19:33 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:31, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
American Empire
Sedgefield · 19:15 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 14/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:25, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Sharetheknowledge
Wexford · 17:25 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:22, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Thewaybackhome
Wexford · 19:38 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:19, 28 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Khalk'eau Spigao
Fontwell · 17:15 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:07, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Blue Noon
Goodwood · 17:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:07, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Wudya
Sedgefield · 17:32 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:07, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dark Alley
Goodwood · 18:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:01, 28 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Youdecide
Fontwell · 17:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/11 → 4/7
Still 8/11 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet
5 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Risks
• Up 21lb. 5lb below career-high OR 99.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/11 (1.75)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:01, 28 Aug 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ararat
Goodwood · 18:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 15/2
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:55, 28 Aug 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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