Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 29 August 2026 · HorseWhale

8578 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Havana Smile

Sandown · 17:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Sandown. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Marching Mac

Sandown · 17:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Betano · Midnite · Matchbook · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Sandown. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Saffron Bay

Beverley · 15:35 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+79% better than SP · +16.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Evening Call

Goodwood · 15:45 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Matchbook

12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Crazee In Havana

Chepstow · 16:40 · 3 runners · Other

THE MOVE

11/4 → 15/8

Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet

19 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Mrs Blue

Chepstow · 16:40 · 3 runners · Other

THE MOVE

16/1 → 11/1

Still 16/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet

19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Minster Man

Chepstow · 16:40 · 3 runners · Other

THE MOVE

1/1 → 1/2

Still 1/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet

19 firms had already cut to 1/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/1 (2.00)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +21.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Moving Force

Windsor · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)

Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 3

Mia Fantasia

Sandown · 15:30 · 8 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +14.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Arthur Carrot

Windsor · 16:30 · 9 runners · Other

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Dappled Light

Chepstow · 18:45 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bubbles Wonky

Windsor · 19:00 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +12.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 29 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Mi Sueno

Cartmel · 14:05 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · 7Bet · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 84.

• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Good Morning Alex

Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 16/1

Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Risks

• Up 10lb. 10lb below career-high OR 84.

• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Regulus Black

Windsor · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 15/8

Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet

19 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -8.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Darkness Falls

Curragh · 13:18 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/10 → 10/11

Still 11/10 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

8 firms had already cut to 10/11 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/5 (2.20)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +14.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Goldfinder

Windsor · 19:30 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 9/2 (5.45)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +4.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Perigord Noir

Chepstow · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Bet Victor · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · 10 Bet

20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 5.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Adversity

Curragh · 13:18 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+133% better than SP · +7.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Tarmonbarry Kid

Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

From Me To You

Windsor · 18:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Quinn Bet

18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.

Risks

• Good vs Good To Firm. Career record: 0/1 on Good.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Victory Gold

Sandown · 16:35 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

3/1 → 11/4

Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+49% better than SP · +12.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Pen Lan Icon

Beverley · 15:35 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

18/1 → 14/1

Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Style Of Life

Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Midgham Man

Chepstow · 17:45 · 5 runners · Other

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+425% better than SP · +50.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lipsink

Sandown · 17:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Midnite

17 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Sandown. 1/4 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Quantum Power

Sandown · 17:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 5/1

Still 7/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Midnite

16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Betsen

Sandown · 17:10 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 11/2

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -5.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Naana's Sparkle

Goodwood · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 9lb. 1lb below career-high OR 95.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+87% better than SP · +12.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 29 Aug 2026

FlatGroup 2

Ebt's Guard

Goodwood · 15:10 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

14/1 → 12/1

Still 14/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets

19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lequinto

Windsor · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Windsor. 2/9 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cobalt Comet

Beverley · 16:45 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 14/1

25 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +5.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Pj's Corner

Chepstow · 17:15 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Matchbook

14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Supreme King

Windsor · 17:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Matchbook · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

Risks

• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 84.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Luca Brillante

Curragh · 14:28 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Paddy Power · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

15 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 78.

• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Defence Minister

Sandown · 16:05 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 13/2

Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 96.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+158% better than SP · +18.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 29 Aug 2026

HurdleHANDICAP

Saligo Bay

Cartmel · 15:53 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 13lb. 4lb below career-high OR 125.

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+106% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 29 Aug 2026

Flat

Pierre Royal

Curragh · 16:15 · 17 runners · Other

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Curragh. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 29 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Crowned

Windsor · 18:00 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/2 → 2/1

Still 5/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

20 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +26.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 29 Aug 2026

ChaseHANDICAP

Kientzheim

Cartmel · 16:25 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 29 Aug 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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