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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 3 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8550 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP
Further Measure
Lingfield (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatGroup 3
Miss Kodi
Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +13.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Burning Up
Haydock · 14:05 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
Still 4/6 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Why it rates
• Haydock. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/13 (1.64)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Far Too Fizzy
Lingfield (AW) · 18:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/7 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Estrallita
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BresBet · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+93% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Startled Lady
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
25 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:22, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Keats House
Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 13/2
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · 7Bet
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:19, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sonoran
Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BresBet · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 19:04, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Call Me Betty
Hamilton · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BresBet
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Pickersgill
Hamilton · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BresBet
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Make The Tide
Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BresBet · Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+167% better than SP · +13.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Micasso
Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:31, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Fortitudine
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/5 → 3/10
Still 2/5 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 3/10 when alerted
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/11 (1.36)
SP: 1.25
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +6.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Inscription
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BresBet
21 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Here Comes Louie
Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Mawhibah
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Diamont Katie
Hamilton · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 74.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Big Apple Jack
Hamilton · 17:20 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:10, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sassy Glory
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · BresBet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 2/7 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Palmarian
Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 15lb below career-high OR 75.
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:28, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Harley
Hamilton · 18:20 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Hamilton. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:22, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Riyazanka
Navan · 17:40 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Murat
Navan · 17:08 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 22lb. 43lb below career-high OR 127.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Waiting For Archie
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Resurgence
Navan · 17:40 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Sunatia
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BresBet
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Offiah's Boy
Bath · 17:35 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:01, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kindly Queen
Hamilton · 17:50 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
80/1 → 40/1
Still 80/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 40/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 125/1 (120.00)
SP: 81.00
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Furrst Lady
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 20/1
Still 40/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BresBet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 50/1 (48.00)
SP: 67.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Queenies Pal
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
50/1 → 25/1
Still 50/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BresBet · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 66/1 (67.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Gold Army
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:25, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Beattie Is Back
Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:19, 2 Sept 2026
FlatMAIDEN
Serendipia
Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:10, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Virgil Tibbs
Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BresBet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:01, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bee Farmer
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:52, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Highland Shah
Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Prairie Girl
Navan · 16:38 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 11lb. 3lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Amerilis
Navan · 16:38 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetWright · BresBet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gotta Catch'em All
Navan · 16:38 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Navan. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 76.
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:40, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Just Adair
Bath · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 85/40
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 85/40 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +10.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:25, 2 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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