Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8559 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

FlatHANDICAP

Up The Agenda

Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Betfred · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BresBet

19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Newcastle (AW). 2/3 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:25, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thunder Rush

Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

Still 22/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BresBet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+420% better than SP · +16.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:16, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Only One Scobie

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 10/1

Still 14/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Dragon Bet

15 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Near Perfection

Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

28/1 → 18/1

Still 28/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 17
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+142% better than SP · +4.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:37, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

No More Porter

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · BresBet · Dragon Bet

19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 9lb below career-high OR 83.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:37, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hygge

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 11/1

19 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)

Permanent record · Fired 12:37, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Aurelune

Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 15/2

Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:34, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Joseph

Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 5 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · BresBet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:31, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Starliner

Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Quinn Bet

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:25, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Harana

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BresBet · Matchbook

19 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 81.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:13, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Anvika

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

16 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +4.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:13, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Douglas Dc

Bath · 17:35 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 12/1

Still 16/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

15 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:04, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Trooper

Bath · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

66/1 → 28/1

Still 66/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 125/1 (120.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: Yes
+135% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:04, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Let's Go Hugo

Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook

13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Newcastle (AW). 1/6 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:04, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Marmeladova

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 7/1

Still 9/1 at 7 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · BresBet · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +4.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:04, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Clova Royale

Newcastle (AW) · 14:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

25/1 → 18/1

Still 25/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 33/1 (32.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+146% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:52, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jodhpur Blue

Bath · 17:35 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:52, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Zoustar Dreams

Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:49, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bundok

Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 6/1

Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BresBet · Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 70.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-40% better than SP · -4.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Orange Emperor

Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 6/1

Still 15/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetWright · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

15 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+125% better than SP · +13.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chapman's Peak

Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Kempton (AW). 2/4 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +6.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:43, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Frank Pickle

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BresBet · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:43, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hear The Drums

Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:31, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Wild Berries

Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

40/1 → 25/1

Still 40/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet

22 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 50/1 (51.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+122% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:31, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Royal Strike

Hamilton · 16:50 · 7 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · BresBet · Hollywood Bets

10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +17.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:31, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Let's Smash It

Navan · 17:40 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/4 → 7/4

Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

13 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:28, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Duchess Anne

Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet

8 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:13, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Perfect Judgement

Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:13, 2 Sept 2026

Flat

Al Widyan

Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 12 runners · Other

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BresBet

25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+189% better than SP · +14.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:07, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Rogue Rebellion

Bath · 15:00 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 13/2

Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:04, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mae Amor

Hamilton · 18:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Virgin Bet

10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

• Hamilton. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:58, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Tariff

Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

Still 25/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 66/1 (60.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+300% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:55, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mimi's Magic

Hamilton · 19:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 18/1

25 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Saxony Charms

Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · BresBet

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+84% better than SP · +9.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Lessay

Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 18/1

Still 22/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet

22 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 28/1 (28.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Shaman Champion

Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 5/1

Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +10.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Raggaas

Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 5/1

Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sunriseontheboyne

Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 9/2

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetTom

21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:37, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Borora Aura

Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 7/1

Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 52.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)

Permanent record · Fired 10:37, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Criminal Shore

Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Newcastle (AW). 1/6 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:34, 2 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

Browse all receipts