Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 3 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8544 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

Flat
Kilbeggan · 19:18 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
7 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 17:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Haydock · 15:52 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/1 → 11/8
Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Dragon Bet
18 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +16.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
10 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 2/20 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 58.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Haydock · 15:52 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
17 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Newcastle (AW) · 15:59 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-34% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 15:24 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 2/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 19:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 10lb. 5lb below career-high OR 85.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 14:17 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 16:49 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
7 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 1lb below career-high OR 89.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 17:35 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-5% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 13:53 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatGroup 3
Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 22/1 (24.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Salisbury · 15:03 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
• Newcastle (AW). 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 20:10 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Southwell (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 26.00
Beat SP: No
-65% better than SP · -7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Southwell (AW) · 17:05 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
2/7 → 2/9
Still 2/7 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
9 firms had already cut to 2/9 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/7 (1.29)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -17.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 3 Sept 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Kilbeggan · 16:05 · 14 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -5.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 13:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 17:55 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 6lb below career-high OR 89.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Midnite
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Southwell (AW) · 19:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 16:20 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Salisbury · 17:24 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatGroup 3
Salisbury · 16:14 · 11 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +13.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Haydock · 14:05 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
Still 4/6 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Why it rates
• Haydock. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/13 (1.64)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -4.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 17:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 15:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Salisbury · 15:03 · 9 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Haydock · 13:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Risks
• Up 15lb. Career-high OR 60.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lingfield (AW) · 18:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/7 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/11 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Newcastle (AW) · 15:59 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/2 → 2/5
Still 1/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/2 (1.50)
SP: 1.25
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Haydock · 15:52 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Lingfield (AW) · 15:10 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +21.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Browse all receipts