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Newton Abbot

Every steam move alert fired at Newton Abbot, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 18 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
108
alerts
70%
beat SP
+4.9
avg probability points vs SP
🟢 STRONGHurdle
Little Lady Rock
Newton Abbot · 14:37 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
15/2 → 11/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Penzance
Newton Abbot · 14:02 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 12 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +15.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Intosomethinggood
Newton Abbot · 15:12 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 18 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Warfleet
Newton Abbot · 17:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Fiskardo
Newton Abbot · 15:47 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Paddy Power
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 31% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Testflight
Newton Abbot · 15:47 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Rebel Tribesman
Newton Abbot · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright
12 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+19% better than SP · +8.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Service Minimum
Newton Abbot · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Saucats
Newton Abbot · 17:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 13/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/8 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Farhh Echo
Newton Abbot · 17:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdle
Yeld To Call
Newton Abbot · 14:37 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Broadway Honey
Newton Abbot · 15:47 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Sept · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Flashy Boy
Newton Abbot · 15:47 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Mr McWhinny
Newton Abbot · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/5 → 4/6
Still 4/5 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 4/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 86.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Sept · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.53
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
God of Fire
Newton Abbot · 17:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Kom Tu Voudras
Newton Abbot · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
12 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Son of Hypnos
Newton Abbot · 17:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Rule Me In
Newton Abbot · 16:55 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Raffles Nobu
Newton Abbot · 17:30 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
It's A Breeze
Newton Abbot · 15:12 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/5 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Royal Time
Newton Abbot · 15:47 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Babs
Newton Abbot · 14:37 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 105.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+110% better than SP · +22.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Depalma
Newton Abbot · 14:02 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/1 → 4/5
21 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -10.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Fine Thing
Newton Abbot · 14:37 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 120.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/4 (3.30)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +9.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Bold Endeavour
Newton Abbot · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 7lb below career-high OR 130.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Thickthorn Tom
Newton Abbot · 15:12 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Newton Abbot. 2/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Mother Ship
Newton Abbot · 17:02 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 15lb. 9lb below career-high OR 97.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:51, 7 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Jetty May
Newton Abbot · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:21, 7 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Juggernaut
Newton Abbot · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:57, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Mcgregors Charge
Newton Abbot · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 8 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet
4 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Good vs Good To Firm. Career record: 1/10 on Good.
• Up 11lb. 7lb below career-high OR 88.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 7 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Melton Mossy
Newton Abbot · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 2lb below career-high OR 111.
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:21, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Mr McWhinny
Newton Abbot · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. 3lb below career-high OR 86.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Mystic Wind
Newton Abbot · 17:02 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 89.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-37% better than SP · -6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 7 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Masterdream
Newton Abbot · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 16lb. 6lb below career-high OR 107.
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:42, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Crackalackin
Newton Abbot · 14:30 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished UR
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Miss Denver
Newton Abbot · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 7 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Ellerton
Newton Abbot · 16:00 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 7 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Alberts Bay
Newton Abbot · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Moment Of Light
Newton Abbot · 14:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 11 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betfair Sportsbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet · Dragon Bet · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 23lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +16.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
My Girl Katie
Newton Abbot · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet
8 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 3/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 7 Sept 2026
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