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Newton Abbot

Every steam move alert fired at Newton Abbot, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 7 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
108
alerts
70%
beat SP
+4.9
avg probability points vs SP
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Saint Polo
Newton Abbot · 15:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
9 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/4 (2.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 7 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Bashful Boy
Newton Abbot · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 7 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Henry Box Brown
Newton Abbot · 15:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Arctic Voyage
Newton Abbot · 16:00 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Explode
Newton Abbot · 14:30 · 6 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 21lb. Career-high OR 104.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.46)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +14.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Devon Red
Newton Abbot · 17:02 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Midnite · Paddy Power
13 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Edelak
Newton Abbot · 16:00 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
7 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 124.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/1 (1.97)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 7 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Ghost Jury
Newton Abbot · 17:02 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 11/2
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +11.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Timely Salute
Newton Abbot · 14:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
23 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 20lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 7 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Makinbecon
Newton Abbot · 17:02 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 1lb below career-high OR 85.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 7 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
My Cullen
Newton Abbot · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 14lb. 9lb below career-high OR 102.
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 7 Sept 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Alberts Bay
Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 18/1
24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+111% better than SP · +5.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:19, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Most Wanted
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:04, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Pivotal Days
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 22/1
Still 40/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 22/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 16lb. 4lb below career-high OR 92.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 40/1 (41.00)
SP: 51.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:04, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Lynsey Larue
Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright · Smarkets
19 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:07, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Gore Point
Newton Abbot · 18:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 6/5
Still 6/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 3/7 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +14.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:28, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Nightflyer
Newton Abbot · 16:42 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet
12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:04, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ellerton
Newton Abbot · 19:42 · 2 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
6 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:03, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Breaking Cover
Newton Abbot · 18:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 7Bet · BetWright · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/5 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleMAIDEN
Wait At The Gate
Newton Abbot · 16:42 · 4 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Man Oh Man
Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 8/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+131% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Premier Fantasy
Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 3lb below career-high OR 103.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Knightsbridge
Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 13/8
Still 2/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Jack The Savage
Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Touchwoodexpress
Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · Paddy Power · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Donnie Azoff
Newton Abbot · 19:42 · 2 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
Still 4/6 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 8/11 (1.74)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Quick Sharpener
Newton Abbot · 19:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
It's A Breeze
Newton Abbot · 19:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 9/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · 10 Bet
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/4 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Gower Prince
Newton Abbot · 18:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Flashy Boy
Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 10 Bet
20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Buxted Reel
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +11.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Ask Peter
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Linden Lane
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
My Girl Katie
Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/6 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Final Entry
Newton Abbot · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
22 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 98.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Thickthorn Tom
Newton Abbot · 19:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Better Off Alone
Newton Abbot · 17:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Paddy Power · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Centara
Newton Abbot · 18:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newton Abbot. 2/7 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 27 Aug 2026
ChaseHANDICAP
Mcgregors Charge
Newton Abbot · 19:12 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 27 Aug 2026
HurdleHANDICAP
Estate Planning
Newton Abbot · 17:42 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Betfred · 7Bet · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 27 Aug 2026
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