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Thickthorn Tom · Newton Abbot 15:12
Published 18 September 2026 · Updated 18 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 07:30 on 18 September 2026, 10 bookmakers cut Thickthorn Tom from 11/8 to 5/4 in the 15:12 at Newton Abbot. At the time of the alert, 11/8 was still available at Bet365, Coral, Ladbrokes, William Hill, Hollywood Bets and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 2.25, making the alert price +6% better than SP, or +2.4 probability points. It finished 2 of 3, beaten 1.5 lengths.
Graded receipt
🔵 TOP Chase HANDICAP
Newton Abbot · 15:12 · 3 runners · Handicap
Still 11/8 at 6 firms when alerted
10 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Newton Abbot. 2/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Fired 07:30, 18 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
07:30 on 18 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
10 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
11/8 at Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Newton Abbot. 2/3 at this course.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 2.25 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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