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Newcastle (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Newcastle (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
190
alerts
74%
beat SP
+3.3
avg probability points vs SP
FlatHANDICAP
Beattie Is Back
Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (4.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:19, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bee Farmer
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 14/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:52, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Highland Shah
Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Up The Agenda
Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Betfred · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BresBet
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 2/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:25, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Thunder Rush
Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BresBet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+420% better than SP · +16.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:16, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Starliner
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Quinn Bet
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:25, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Let's Go Hugo
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/6 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:04, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Clova Royale
Newcastle (AW) · 14:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
25/1 → 18/1
Still 25/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 33/1 (32.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+146% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:52, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Hear The Drums
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lessay
Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 18/1
Still 22/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet · BresBet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet
22 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 28/1 (28.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sunriseontheboyne
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 9/2
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+55% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:37, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Criminal Shore
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/6 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Game Management
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:22, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Millbuie
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:19, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Pivotal Terms
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 14lb below career-high OR 67.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:13, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Brash
Newcastle (AW) · 14:45 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
10 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:04, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Claret Time
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:01, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Profitability
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 13 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 59.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Shatin Venture
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Parole Officer
Newcastle (AW) · 14:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 8lb. 20lb below career-high OR 73.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:49, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dalamara
Newcastle (AW) · 14:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 4lb below career-high OR 58.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+2% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
One More Bottle
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gifts Differing
Newcastle (AW) · 14:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 20/1
Still 33/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 6lb below career-high OR 61.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 33/1 (34.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+300% better than SP · +8.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:40, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sands Of Seve
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
28/1 → 16/1
Still 28/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:34, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
It's A Love Thing
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · Bet Victor · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:25, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bowood
Newcastle (AW) · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Newcastle (AW). 2/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:16, 2 Sept 2026
Flat
Rake Lane
Newcastle (AW) · 14:45 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 16/1 (17.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Kameel
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Bloodsweatandtyres
Newcastle (AW) · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
26 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/3 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Yorkshire Dream
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Walk On Walk On
Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Defence Missile
Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Muddy Nora
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: No
-44% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Barleybrown
Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Midnite · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Love You More
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ellie's de Vega
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Rugby Union
Newcastle (AW) · 14:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
25 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Ravenscraig Castle
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mercurius Power
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +7.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Koko Blue
Newcastle (AW) · 13:45 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +13.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026
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