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Pivotal Terms · Newcastle (AW) 16:45
Published 2 September 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 10:13 on 2 September 2026, 24 bookmakers cut Pivotal Terms from 17/2 to 7/1 in the 16:45 at Newcastle (AW). At the time of the alert, 9/1 was still available at Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 5.50, making the alert price +82% better than SP, or +8.2 probability points. It finished 7 of 9, beaten 5.5 lengths.
Graded receipt
Flat HANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 16:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 14lb below career-high OR 67.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Fired 10:13, 2 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
10:13 on 2 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
24 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
9/1 at Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 14lb below career-high OR 67.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 5.50 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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