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Newcastle (AW)

Every steam move alert fired at Newcastle (AW), timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 5 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time
190
alerts
74%
beat SP
+3.3
avg probability points vs SP
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Celtic Arrow
Newcastle (AW) · 19:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Criminal Shore
Newcastle (AW) · 19:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 9/4
24 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +13.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Starliner
Newcastle (AW) · 20:30 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
22 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +9.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
War Howl
Newcastle (AW) · 20:00 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
24 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +19.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 5 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Khabib
Newcastle (AW) · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:13, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tomorrow Day
Newcastle (AW) · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Risks
• Up 7lb. 14lb below career-high OR 65.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Home Secretary
Newcastle (AW) · 15:24 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/15 → 4/11
Still 8/15 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 4/11 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/7 (1.57)
SP: 1.30
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:18, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Interstate
Newcastle (AW) · 14:52 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/6 → 8/11
Still 5/6 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet
4 firms had already cut to 8/11 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 1.44
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +14.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:09, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Treble Bass
Newcastle (AW) · 14:52 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-42% better than SP · -6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:51, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Caelum
Newcastle (AW) · 15:59 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Finlaggan
Newcastle (AW) · 14:17 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Northern Tempest
Newcastle (AW) · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mao Shang Wong
Newcastle (AW) · 14:17 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Newcastle (AW). 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Gemini Man
Newcastle (AW) · 13:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Neddies Boy
Newcastle (AW) · 13:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
33/1 → 18/1
Still 33/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 66/1 (70.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+1300% better than SP · +18.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Power Of Chora
Newcastle (AW) · 16:35 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 14/1
Still 22/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Qitaal
Newcastle (AW) · 14:17 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+146% better than SP · +18.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Satyress
Newcastle (AW) · 13:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.85)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Cyberspace
Newcastle (AW) · 15:59 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
20/1 → 11/1
Still 20/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 40/1 (42.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dandy Dinmont
Newcastle (AW) · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Victory Sound
Newcastle (AW) · 16:35 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Lawmans Blis
Newcastle (AW) · 13:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mr Withington
Newcastle (AW) · 13:42 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Dc Cogent
Newcastle (AW) · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +13.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Newyorkstateofmind
Newcastle (AW) · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
20 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.25)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tarbat Ness
Newcastle (AW) · 15:24 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
6 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 2/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
What A Girl Wants
Newcastle (AW) · 15:59 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-34% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Asadjumeirah
Newcastle (AW) · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
10 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 2/20 at this course.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 6lb below career-high OR 58.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Junkyard Dog
Newcastle (AW) · 14:17 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
BetMGM · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Too Much
Newcastle (AW) · 18:15 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
• Newcastle (AW). 1/8 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Reenie's Dream
Newcastle (AW) · 17:10 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Mwafaq
Newcastle (AW) · 14:17 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Bet365
22 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -5.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Tickets
Newcastle (AW) · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 1/11 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Desert Master
Newcastle (AW) · 17:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
Flat
Mussab
Newcastle (AW) · 15:59 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/2 → 2/5
Still 1/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 2/5 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 4.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/2 (1.50)
SP: 1.25
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 3 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Here Comes Louie
Newcastle (AW) · 17:45 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Sassy Glory
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · BresBet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Newcastle (AW). 2/7 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:46, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Waiting For Archie
Newcastle (AW) · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:43, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Queenies Pal
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
50/1 → 25/1
Still 50/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BresBet · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 25/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 66/1 (67.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:31, 2 Sept 2026
FlatHANDICAP
Furrst Lady
Newcastle (AW) · 17:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
40/1 → 20/1
Still 40/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BresBet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 20/1 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 50/1 (48.00)
SP: 67.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:31, 2 Sept 2026
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