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Caelum · Newcastle (AW) 15:59
Published 3 September 2026 · Updated 3 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 11:45 on 3 September 2026, 11 bookmakers cut Caelum from 5/1 to 9/2 in the 15:59 at Newcastle (AW). At the time of the alert, 5/1 was still available at Bet365, Unibet, William Hill, Matchbook, Smarkets and Paddy Power. The race returned an SP of 5.50, making the alert price +35% better than SP, or +4.7 probability points. It finished 2 of 7, beaten 4 lengths.
Graded receipt
Flat
Newcastle (AW) · 15:59 · 7 runners · Other
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Fired 11:45, 3 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
11:45 on 3 September 2026
Horse and race
Caelum · Newcastle (AW) · 15:59
Qualifying bookmaker movement
11 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
5/1 at Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
Context at the time
Risks
• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
PLACED · SP: 5.50 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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