Navan

Every steam move alert fired at Navan, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 2 September 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

169

alerts

77%

beat SP

+3.6

avg probability points vs SP

FlatHANDICAP

Great Mover

Navan · 19:10 · 15 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 8/1

Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +6.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Socratea

Navan · 19:40 · 21 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/1 → 17/2

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Emiza

Navan · 17:40 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Beach Barbie

Navan · 16:38 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 11/1

23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 15
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-48% better than SP · -4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chou Chou

Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Thompson Gunner

Navan · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 11/4

Still 10/3 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets

16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Timurshah

Navan · 17:08 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+12% better than SP · +3.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 2 Sept 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Chapel Lane

Navan · 17:40 · 13 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/1 → 11/2

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Giselles Defence

Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 16/1

Still 22/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bad Boy Rizz

Navan · 16:38 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · BetWright

14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Whosethebestboy

Navan · 18:10 · 16 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 11/1

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 2 Sept 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Folk Warrior

Navan · 17:24 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 16/1

Still 20/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets

21 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:22, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Anightaway

Navan · 17:24 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 5/1

Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 18
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:22, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ms Messi

Navan · 17:24 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook

24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:19, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Love Orchid

Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:46, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chapel Island

Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 11/1

Still 12/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 14/1 (15.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +2.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:34, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bill Silvers

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:31, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Chicago Moon

Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet

22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:55, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Trumph

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet

21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 70.

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:03, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Rollin'onariver

Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

50/1 → 28/1

24 firms had already cut to 28/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 28/1 (29.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:03, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cosmic Funk

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

16 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:00, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mythical Rock

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

15 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +6.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:00, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Blissful Bonita

Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

8 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:33, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Alto Sax

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:24, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Jezzie Bea

Navan · 15:14 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Midnite

18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+110% better than SP · +10.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Supreme Lord

Navan · 13:44 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 15/8

16 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 79.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +7.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:15, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

In A Hurry

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

25/1 → 16/1

Still 25/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 50/1 (55.00)
SP: 41.00
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

The Holy Apostle

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 14/1

Still 20/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Arcland

Navan · 17:24 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -2.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Comfort Line

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 6lb. 12lb below career-high OR 77.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:42, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sporting Hero

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

33/1 → 18/1

24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 34.00
Beat SP: No
-44% better than SP · -2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Mary Shoelaces

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 12/1

23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Smoke Them Out

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

22/1 → 12/1

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Alfred Tennyson

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 10/1

24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

By The Lake

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 10/1

Still 18/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 29.00
Beat SP: No
-34% better than SP · -1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Amiata

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 9lb. 2lb below career-high OR 88.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +10.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:27, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Jungle Tina

Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

25/1 → 18/1

23 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 81.00
Beat SP: No
-77% better than SP · -4.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Always Magic

Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/1 → 9/1

Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Dragon Bet

20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Southern Boulevard

Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/4 → 9/4

Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright

16 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Atlantic Bridge

Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/4 → 11/8

Still 7/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

4 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +21.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 27 Aug 2026

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