Navan

Every steam move alert fired at Navan, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 27 August 2026 · HorseWhale

All time

169

alerts

77%

beat SP

+3.6

avg probability points vs SP

FlatMAIDEN

Abletai

Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)

Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Prince Of Peppard

Navan · 13:44 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright

19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Hale Bopp

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

16/1 → 11/1

Still 16/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +5.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Sovereign Cry

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Back Down Under

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 8/1

Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Risks

• Up 14lb. 6lb below career-high OR 84.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +10.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:42, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Avec Grand Plaisir

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +8.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Cool Azul

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · BresBet · Dragon Bet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Midnite

17 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Jon Riggens

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT

NON-RUNNER

Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)

Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

This That

Navan · 15:14 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · BetMGM · Smarkets · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright

17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Tofino

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 11/2

Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Quinn Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets

18 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Ella's Gold

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Better Yet

Navan · 14:44 · 8 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power

7 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Go Out

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite

17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Minaun View

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BresBet · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet

6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-2% better than SP · -0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Gotta Catch'em All

Navan · 14:14 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 8/1

Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/3 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 75.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+167% better than SP · +13.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Millhone

Navan · 16:49 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Share The Treasure

Navan · 17:24 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

28/1 → 18/1

24 firms had already cut to 18/1 when alerted

Why it rates

• Navan. 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-10% better than SP · -0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Bundle Of Interest

Navan · 15:44 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 8/1

24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatMAIDEN

Leadlight

Navan · 15:14 · 6 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

8/13 → 8/15

Still 8/13 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets

4 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/13 (1.62)
SP: 1.40
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026

FlatHANDICAP

Borora Aura

Navan · 16:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

20/1 → 11/1

24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 27 Aug 2026

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