HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 6 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8337 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Dwindling Funds
York · 17:00 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• York. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 79.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:33, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Gata Ban
Fontwell · 15:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
7 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Fontwell. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Up 21lb. 6lb below career-high OR 97.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (3.05)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:30, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Northern Express
York · 16:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• York. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
• Up 8lb. 9lb below career-high OR 106.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:21, 6 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Explosive Finnish
York · 14:05 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• York. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 78.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:57, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Behike
York · 15:50 · 9 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:48, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Scenic Route
York · 13:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:30, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Midnight Jewel
Fontwell · 16:40 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/8 → 6/5
Still 11/8 at 3 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Fontwell. 1/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +21.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:18, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Ask A Sainte
Fontwell · 16:05 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Start Again
Fontwell · 16:05 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 6 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
Downtown Nashville
Fontwell · 14:55 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 6 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Moon Chime
York · 14:40 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Royal Rhythm
Fontwell · 14:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 14 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. 3lb below career-high OR 99.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Novelista
Fontwell · 14:55 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:00, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Imperial Bede
Fontwell · 16:40 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-43% better than SP · -10.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Woohoo
York · 16:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 78.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 6 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Nesthorn
York · 15:15 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 99.
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Bayraktar
York · 13:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.75)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Coastal Command
Fontwell · 14:55 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Castle Stuart
York · 15:15 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · BetWright
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 5lb below career-high OR 94.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 6 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Frankie Faulkner
Fontwell · 15:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dark Moon Rising
York · 15:15 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• York. 1/11 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 92.
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Extremely Zain
York · 15:50 · 9 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Dragon Bet
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• York. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 6 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Mr Noble
York · 16:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 12 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
The Kings Soldier
Fontwell · 15:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 73.
• Unproven at 3m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 6 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Lir Speciale
York · 17:00 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 16lb. 3lb below career-high OR 87.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 6 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Inspired
York · 17:00 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 13lb. Career-high OR 80.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +11.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 6 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Atreides
Fontwell · 14:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · 10 Bet
17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Fontwell. 1/5 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 14/1 (14.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+287% better than SP · +19.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleMAIDEN
Moab
Fontwell · 14:55 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · 10 Bet
14 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 110.
• Unproven at 2m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Illy's Roo
York · 17:00 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• York. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
High Fibre
York · 14:40 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · 10 Bet
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.65)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +9.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Of Corse I Can
Fontwell · 15:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Betano
17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Fontwell. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 6 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Jefe Triunfo
Fontwell · 14:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Paddy Power
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -4.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 6 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Havana Rum
York · 14:05 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 7lb below career-high OR 83.
• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Martin's Denuo
Fontwell · 16:40 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Double Parked
York · 15:15 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• York. 1/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+53% better than SP · +4.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Izuba
York · 13:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/8 → 5/4
Still 11/8 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/4 (2.44)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:39, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Mezzo Forte
York · 13:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 3/1
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 6 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
County Champs
Fontwell · 14:20 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 4lb below career-high OR 92.
• Unproven at 2m5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished F
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 6 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Furhaan
York · 14:40 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
Still 12/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 6 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Barley
York · 17:00 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 6 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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