At 14:21 on 6 September 2026, 16 bookmakers cut Northern Express from 11/2 to 5/1 in the 16:25 at York. At the time of the alert, 13/2 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 7.50, making the alert price -1% better than SP, or -0.2 probability points. It finished 5 of 15, beaten 2.25 lengths.
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
York · 16:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• York. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
• Up 8lb. 9lb below career-high OR 106.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Fired 14:21, 6 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
14:21 on 6 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
16 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
13/2 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• York. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
• Up 8lb. 9lb below career-high OR 106.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 7.50 · Beat SP: No
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
