🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
York · 16:25 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• York. 1/4 at this course.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
• Up 8lb. 9lb below career-high OR 106.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:21, 6 Sept 2026