At 08:45 on 6 September 2026, 25 bookmakers cut Nesthorn from 16/1 to 12/1 in the 15:15 at York. The race returned an SP of 11.00, making the alert price +18% better than SP, or +1.4 probability points. It finished 5 of 15, beaten 4.25 lengths.
⚪ LOW Flat HANDICAP
York · 15:15 · 15 runners · Handicap
25 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 99.
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Fired 08:45, 6 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
08:45 on 6 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
25 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 5lb below career-high OR 99.
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 11.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
