HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 9 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8313 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Birthday Angel
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Luminous Warrior
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Leopards Rock
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
River Trieux
Cork · 18:45 · 18 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Cosmic Girl
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (16.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hurstwood
Redcar · 16:24 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 1/4 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Little Beck Annie
Carlisle · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+68% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Revelator
Cork · 16:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Pink Larkspur
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 37% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-39% better than SP · -7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Royal Duke
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-33% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Act Of Generosity
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+102% better than SP · +19.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Tee Aitch Aye
Carlisle · 16:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Blue Pete
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+111% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Luminous Approach
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 67% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 23.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Mmmbop
Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 65.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hatamoto
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +13.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Flagbearer
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Socks Off
Sedgefield · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 13lb. 4lb below career-high OR 98.
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:27, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Sea Brave
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/2 → 2/1
Still 5/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-32% better than SP · -8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Lone Star
Sedgefield · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Travis
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Redcar. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+86% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Idyllic
Redcar · 15:54 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Cladach
Cork · 19:15 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · placed
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Lex Victoria
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
5 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/6 (1.83)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -9.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Mercantile
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/4 → 5/4
Still 6/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 1.50
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +30.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Woodleigh
Redcar · 15:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 3/4 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Augustus Gloop
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Midnite · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Bintaryana
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 6/5
Still 6/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · William Hill · Betfred · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/1 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 36% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 11lb. Career-high OR 83.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Art Lover
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 15/8
Still 9/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · William Hill · Bet365 · Coral · Matchbook · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 15/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Phantom Shadow
Redcar · 15:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Gunfighter
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +8.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Potomac River
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+51% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Luminaries
Sedgefield · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Ladbrokes · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time tb.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+74% better than SP · +14.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Alkumatic Jo Jo
Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 13/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+78% better than SP · +8.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Barley
Carlisle · 16:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Benbecula
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +16.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sweet Kiss
Redcar · 15:54 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Matchbook · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · 10 Bet · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.80)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +15.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Thank You Blue
Sedgefield · 15:00 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Sedgefield. 2/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +16.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
One Night Thunder
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Carlisle. 2/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Finn Ironside
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 7lb below career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 9 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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