HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 9 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8300 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Per Contra
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 11lb below career-high OR 89.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Impierious
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-35% better than SP · -3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Flambe Fleur
Cork · 17:45 · 17 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
15 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Stateira Belle
Redcar · 14:21 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
16/1 → 11/1
Still 16/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
16 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 25/1 (26.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Percy's Daydream
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 12/1
Still 14/1 at 8 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 18/1 (18.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+54% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Pulse Of Fire
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Donald
Carlisle · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
9 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:06, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
North Star Kodi
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Through The Gate
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Kirton Angel
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Zous Juice
Carlisle · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hey Havana
Redcar · 15:54 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 6 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+92% better than SP · +8.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Caturra Lights
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-17% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Funky Dory
Carlisle · 14:12 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Moro Rock
Sedgefield · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Coral · William Hill · 7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
13 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hostility
Carlisle · 16:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 2/5 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+160% better than SP · +21.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sandy Craic
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Carlisle. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+67% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Assiri Heights
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+19% better than SP · +2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Bibendum
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Yafaarr
Redcar · 16:54 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Redcar. 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Highbury See See
Cork · 19:15 · 18 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 16 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Bet365 · Betfred · BetMGM · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom · Dragon Bet · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Midnite · Virgin Bet
13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 12lb below career-high OR 81.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Happy Banner
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 8/1
Still 9/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
The New Bay Pearl
Redcar · 16:54 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+120% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fox Avatar
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Ladies Day
Sedgefield · 16:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:27, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Glenmalure Flyer
Sedgefield · 15:00 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 6/5
Still 6/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetWright · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 36% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 3m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Deputy Vice
Redcar · 13:21 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Yimmna
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fast Performer
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• First-time t.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Noozhaa
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Midnite
4 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Stellarmasterpiece
Sedgefield · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/5 → 1/1
Still 6/5 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 1/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 10lb. Career-high OR 93.
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/4 (2.28)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Walk In Provence
Redcar · 14:21 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Paddy Power
19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 16/1 (18.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+89% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Westerton
Sedgefield · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 21lb. 1lb below career-high OR 97.
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+85% better than SP · +11.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Time Was
Sedgefield · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Never Dark
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Max Of Stars
Sedgefield · 17:05 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 7lb below career-high OR 119.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+88% better than SP · +11.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Fighting Tears
Cork · 16:10 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Ballygeary
Sedgefield · 16:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
The Childe Of Hale
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 7lb below career-high OR 72.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+136% better than SP · +10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Luminous Warrior
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 9 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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