HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 9 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8336 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Finn Ironside
Redcar · 13:51 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · BetWright
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 7lb below career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
Permanent record · Fired 07:54, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Sunset Cove
Carlisle · 14:12 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet
4 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Dexter
Sedgefield · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thunder Wonder
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 14lb. 14lb below career-high OR 97.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:33, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Night Emperor
Redcar · 16:24 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Old Is Gold
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 13lb. 5lb below career-high OR 88.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Sept · won
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ridgemaster
Redcar · 16:24 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Tinsel
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time p.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Alpine Wedding
Cork · 17:45 · 17 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Grande Cuvee
Cork · 17:10 · 22 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 19
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Runninsonofagun
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fan Mail
Carlisle · 16:17 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Smarkets · Matchbook
16 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time v.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Sarah's Choice
Cork · 17:45 · 17 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
3/1 → 5/2
Still 3/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Midnight Lir
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Green Kite
Cork · 18:15 · 22 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetWright
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 9lb below career-high OR 69.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
King Ulanda
Sedgefield · 17:05 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
2/1 → 7/4
Still 2/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
14 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +11.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Glory And Honour
Sedgefield · 16:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Fine Print
Bangor-on-Dee · 19:12 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 18:56, 8 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Playful Fox
Bangor-on-Dee · 18:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 3/1
Still 7/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 39% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:47, 8 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdle
Hidden Fortune
Bangor-on-Dee · 17:42 · 8 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/11 → 4/5
Still 10/11 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet
4 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 39% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/11 (1.93)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -7.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:05, 8 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Miss Willows
Catterick · 16:46 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+4% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:44, 8 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Jenni
Catterick · 16:46 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 3 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:44, 8 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Lermoos Legend
Bangor-on-Dee · 16:38 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:29, 8 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Star Start
Catterick · 17:51 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
5 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 6lb below career-high OR 63.
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 3 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+98% better than SP · +18.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:14, 8 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Suir Monad
Galway · 16:53 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:14, 8 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dream Deal
Catterick · 15:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• Catterick. 2/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:23, 8 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Taaklam
Catterick · 16:11 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 29% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 5lb below career-high OR 65.
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:20, 8 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Battenburg Belle
Catterick · 15:03 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Catterick. 2/4 at this course.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/1 on Good To Soft.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:35, 8 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Over Spiced
Goodwood · 15:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 7/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:26, 8 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGChaseHANDICAP
Country Park
Bangor-on-Dee · 16:38 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
8 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Bangor-on-Dee. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:20, 8 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Shenata
Galway · 17:30 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:04, 8 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Party Dress
Galway · 19:00 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 12
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +9.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:58, 8 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Beset
Galway · 18:30 · 16 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 11 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
12 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 106.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:54, 8 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Jax Edge
Goodwood · 15:15 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Quinn Bet
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:48, 8 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Electric Lightning
Catterick · 16:46 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:27, 8 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Casamorati
Galway · 16:18 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
10/1 → 9/1
Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:04, 8 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Lunar Orbit
Bangor-on-Dee · 18:12 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 9/4
Still 11/4 at 16 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 39% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 4lb below career-high OR 108.
• Unproven at 2m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 3/1 (4.10)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 8 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Zadawa
Galway · 19:30 · 17 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:37, 8 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Perfect Hope
Leicester · 14:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
25 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-26% better than SP · -3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:28, 8 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Hemustbeanangel
Leicester · 14:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+113% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:22, 8 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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