HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 9 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8282 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Chesneys Charm
Redcar · 15:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:28, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Talitha Rouge
Redcar · 15:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
16 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+66% better than SP · +12.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:01, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Albegone
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:58, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAPMAIDEN
Datstheholyallofit
Sedgefield · 14:00 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:58, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Al Jolson
Redcar · 14:21 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/6 → 1/10
Still 1/6 at 13 firms when alerted
Unibet · Star Sports · Betfred · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Midnite · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
4 firms had already cut to 1/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/5 (1.20)
SP: 1.17
Beat SP: Yes
+3% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:55, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
The Bureau Club
Kempton (AW) · 17:00 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 6.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 62.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:28, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
State Of Gold
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · BetMGM · Betano
14 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:51, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Zermatt Star
Carlisle · 16:47 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Betfred
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:42, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Go Athletico
Cork · 17:10 · 22 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:27, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Dandy G Boy
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/2 at this course.
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+48% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:21, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Loriko
Sedgefield · 16:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 36% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:12, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Getaway Jewel
Sedgefield · 15:30 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:48, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAPMAIDEN
Way Maker
Sedgefield · 14:00 · 5 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
1/1 → 5/6
Still 1/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 5/6 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 2m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 21/20 (2.04)
SP: 1.67
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +10.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:39, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
The Scallionator
Cork · 16:10 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
6/4 → 11/8
Still 6/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets
5 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/4 (2.50)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+59% better than SP · +23.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:27, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Pergamon
Sedgefield · 17:05 · 3 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 11/8
Still 5/2 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 17lb. Career-high OR 115.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +9.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:21, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Goldwork
Kempton (AW) · 20:30 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Blue Hercules
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Harper Violet
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +10.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:18, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Enchanted Queen
Kempton (AW) · 19:00 · 7 runners · Other
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
Still 4/6 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · BetWright
6 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/6 (1.67)
SP: 1.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:12, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWChaseHANDICAP
Spot On Soph
Sedgefield · 14:30 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Sedgefield. 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Up 13lb. 5lb below career-high OR 105.
• Unproven at 2m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:09, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Social Spirit
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:03, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Moon Beginnings
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Harlequin Gift
Carlisle · 14:42 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:57, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lucky Hero
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · BetMGM · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Redcar. 2/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:54, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Orfilia
Carlisle · 14:12 · 13 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:48, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Cotai Starlight
Carlisle · 15:47 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:39, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Dreamology
Kempton (AW) · 18:30 · 6 runners · Other
THE MOVE
13/2 → 9/2
25 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+131% better than SP · +23.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Liamo
Cork · 18:15 · 22 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 11/2
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 13
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-46% better than SP · -7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Uzincso
Kempton (AW) · 20:00 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/8 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
East Eagle
Sedgefield · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 11/4
Still 7/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +8.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Lipstick Traces
Sedgefield · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · BetWright
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 3m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Enigma Code
Cork · 18:45 · 18 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +18.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Almeiyda
Cork · 18:45 · 18 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
7/4 → 11/8
Still 7/4 at 11 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · 10 Bet · Matchbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 18 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 2/1 (3.00)
SP: 2.10
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +14.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleHANDICAP
Dr Seb
Sedgefield · 16:30 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 12lb. 12lb below career-high OR 111.
• Unproven at 3m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-16% better than SP · -2.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
Skyjack Hijack
Sedgefield · 16:00 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Marco Polo
Cork · 16:40 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
2/7 → 1/5
7 firms had already cut to 1/5 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/5 (1.20)
SP: 1.12
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +6.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 9 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Spirit Lead Me
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · Betano · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Kempton (AW). 1/5 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Musical Soldier
Kempton (AW) · 19:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Per Contra
Redcar · 14:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 11lb below career-high OR 89.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:15, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatMAIDEN
Flambe Fleur
Cork · 17:45 · 17 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
15 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:12, 9 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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