HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 10 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8266 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Moyassr
Laytown · 17:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 11 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · BetWright · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 23lb. 15lb below career-high OR 77.
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +10.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Musical Times
Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
15/8 → 7/4
Still 15/8 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 7/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.90)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Shirakawa
Epsom · 16:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +11.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Lots Road
Epsom · 14:00 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 7Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Karnaval Point
Worcester · 14:10 · 5 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Worcester. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:48, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Uppercase
Epsom · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Epsom. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 77.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
My Maria
Lingfield (AW) · 14:40 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:45, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Forest Spirit
Worcester · 15:55 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 32% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 9lb. 7lb below career-high OR 86.
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Bymiddaytomorrow
Doncaster · 13:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 11/1
Still 12/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 16/1 (16.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+65% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Majestic Wave
Lingfield (AW) · 16:58 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright
17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Francisco
Lingfield (AW) · 16:58 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/6 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Rollthedicebaby
Doncaster · 13:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
17 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:42, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Thisonesforyou
Lingfield (AW) · 19:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 11/8
12 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/8 (2.38)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Midgham Man
Doncaster · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Hugo's Girl
Laytown · 18:20 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Hollywood Bets · Betano · BetTom · BetWright
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +11.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:36, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Patrol
Epsom · 15:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 9/4
Still 3/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 3/1 (3.95)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Lohengrin
Laytown · 18:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Boyle Sports · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Matchbook · Betano · Paddy Power
10 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 20lb. 20lb below career-high OR 68.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Carnival Day
Epsom · 15:07 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
18 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Weekend Roar
Doncaster · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
22/1 → 16/1
23 firms had already cut to 16/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: No
-19% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Harry Gulliver
Worcester · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+91% better than SP · +14.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Vincenzo Peruggia
Lingfield (AW) · 17:33 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Paddy Power
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Therewillbeglory
Laytown · 18:20 · 9 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Oj Lifestyle
Epsom · 17:27 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Boyle Sports · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
15 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +6.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Location Location
Lingfield (AW) · 14:40 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Wild Dahlia
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 4/1
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Island Bear
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mayaada
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Bet365 · Betfred · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/2 (5.60)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+72% better than SP · +12.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Collective Power
Laytown · 17:49 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Matchbook
15 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Risks
• Up 40lb. 17lb below career-high OR 86.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Let's Go Hugo
Lingfield (AW) · 18:05 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
My Mate Kev
Lingfield (AW) · 18:05 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
On Key
Lingfield (AW) · 16:58 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dijon Gone
Epsom · 16:17 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 5/1
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPHurdleHANDICAP
Berry Edge
Worcester · 16:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
5 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First run after wind surgery.
• Trainer in form. 37% last 14 days.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Asteverdi
Kempton (AW) · 18:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
25 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:55, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Monsieur Kodi
Carlisle · 17:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright
20 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:16, 9 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Falcon Nine
Redcar · 16:54 · 19 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:31, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
She's On The Ball
Cork · 18:15 · 22 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:46, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Venetian Sky
Kempton (AW) · 17:30 · 11 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 4/1
Still 11/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +4.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:34, 9 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
Zoar
Cork · 16:10 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
5/2 → 5/4
Still 5/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 5/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 23 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +13.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:25, 9 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Chesneys Charm
Redcar · 15:21 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 5/2 (3.55)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 14:28, 9 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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