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Harper Violet · Carlisle 15:12
Published 9 September 2026 · Updated 9 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 11:18 on 9 September 2026, 20 bookmakers cut Harper Violet from 11/2 to 9/2 in the 15:12 at Carlisle. At the time of the alert, 6/1 was still available at Matchbook and Smarkets. The race returned an SP of 4.00, making the alert price +70% better than SP, or +10.3 probability points. It won by 8.
Graded receipt
⚪ LOW Flat MAIDEN
Carlisle · 15:12 · 12 runners · Maiden
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +10.3 probability points
Fired 11:18, 9 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
11:18 on 9 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
20 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
6/1 at Matchbook · Smarkets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 30% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m3f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 4.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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