HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 10 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8250 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟢 STRONGFlat
Blue Anthem
Laytown · 16:39 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +11.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Horndean
Lingfield (AW) · 14:40 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +5.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Give Hand
Epsom · 14:00 · 10 runners · Other
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 17/2 (9.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatMAIDEN
Battlefield Boy
Lingfield (AW) · 15:13 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Devil's Peak
Doncaster · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
12 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 9lb. Career-high OR 86.
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.40)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Swingforthefence
Worcester · 13:40 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Itica
Doncaster · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet
8 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Speed of Sound
Doncaster · 13:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +11.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Silver Trumpet
Epsom · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Al Wathba
Doncaster · 16:10 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/8 → 11/8
Still 13/8 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
6 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Initial Blue
Laytown · 17:49 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 35lb. 8lb below career-high OR 77.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-52% better than SP · -7.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Action Replay
Worcester · 15:20 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Launch Time
Laytown · 17:14 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 7/2
Still 9/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets
14 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. Career-high OR 57.
• Unproven at 6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Pride Eye
Lingfield (AW) · 18:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+50% better than SP · +8.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Winemaker
Lingfield (AW) · 16:23 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+127% better than SP · +7.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Midnight's Dream
Lingfield (AW) · 16:58 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Euphonia
Epsom · 14:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 20/1 (21.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+40% better than SP · +1.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlat
God Given Talent
Doncaster · 13:50 · 17 runners · Other
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-14% better than SP · -1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Crooked Path
Epsom · 15:42 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/4 → 6/4
Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom
13 firms had already cut to 6/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleHANDICAP
American Empire
Worcester · 17:05 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 7/1
Still 17/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
I'm Spartacus
Laytown · 18:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright
15 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 13lb. 22lb below career-high OR 69.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Kaindy
Lingfield (AW) · 17:33 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/4 → 11/8
Still 6/4 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
4 firms had already cut to 11/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/8 (2.63)
SP: 1.73
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +19.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dandy Khan
Epsom · 17:27 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
18/1 → 12/1
22 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Jackson Street
Lingfield (AW) · 16:58 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/10 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 10 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Wild Thoughts
Doncaster · 14:25 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
20/1 → 14/1
Still 20/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 14/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 22/1 (23.00)
SP: 21.00
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +0.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
A Lott Of Kane
Lingfield (AW) · 18:05 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
16 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Takaaful
Lingfield (AW) · 15:48 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/11 → 8/13
Still 8/11 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · 10 Bet
6 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/11 (1.71)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+6% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Little Jaybee
Lingfield (AW) · 18:05 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Storm Blade
Doncaster · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+75% better than SP · +13.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:12, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Trust Yourself
Lingfield (AW) · 14:40 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPChaseHANDICAP
Broadway Honey
Worcester · 13:40 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:09, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2
Cameo
Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
17 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Note To Self
Lingfield (AW) · 15:48 · 10 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• First-time p.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +11.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:06, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2
Beguiled
Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 12.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Lake Como
Lingfield (AW) · 17:33 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 89.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-31% better than SP · -6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Salvezza
Lingfield (AW) · 15:13 · 8 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:03, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
South Kensington
Lingfield (AW) · 16:23 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
William Hill · 10 Bet · Midnite · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:00, 10 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Arbaawy
Epsom · 16:52 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Quinn Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 4lb below career-high OR 79.
• Unproven at 1m½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+80% better than SP · +8.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 10 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatGroup 2
Sea Of Rain
Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.75)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-21% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:57, 10 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Undiscovered
Doncaster · 16:45 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 7Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet
7 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 3.
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -5.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:51, 10 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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