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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 11 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

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🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Red Snapper
Salisbury · 16:16 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 8/1
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Salisbury. 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Run For The Border
Ballinrobe · 17:09 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:30, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2
Ascending
Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Allegrino
Sandown · 16:57 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:24, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Henley On Thames
Doncaster · 16:45 · 15 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Miss Guinevere
Salisbury · 18:28 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betano · Hollywood Bets
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +7.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:21, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Ruby Wedding
Doncaster · 15:35 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+39% better than SP · +6.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Misty Cove
Ballinrobe · 15:24 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · Hollywood Bets
19 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 7lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:18, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Queen Roslyn
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 13/2
Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 5.
Risks
• Up 19lb. 24lb below career-high OR 87.
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 15 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+144% better than SP · +13.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:15, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Norham
Sandown · 15:47 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWHurdleHANDICAP
Camlin Park
Ballinrobe · 17:09 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 10/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +6.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Chilly Breeze
Chester · 14:47 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 6/1
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
19 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time h.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:12, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
The Dotski
Ballinrobe · 15:59 · 15 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetTom · BetWright
14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlat
Nightime Dancer
Salisbury · 17:58 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
16/1 → 10/1
Still 16/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 18/1 (20.00)
SP: 19.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mr Seagull
Sandown · 17:32 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet
17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 8lb. 12lb below career-high OR 85.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 4/1 (5.20)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +14.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Quickthorn
Salisbury · 17:58 · 4 runners · Other
THE MOVE
3/1 → 9/4
Still 3/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 1 to Class 2.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +5.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlat
Iron Sword
Ballinrobe · 19:10 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
8/15 → 4/9
Still 8/15 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · 10 Bet · BetTom · Dragon Bet
12 firms had already cut to 4/9 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/7 (1.57)
SP: 2.20
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -18.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlat
Le Grand Retour
Ballinrobe · 19:10 · 5 runners · Other
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 6 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 2.62
Beat SP: Yes
+148% better than SP · +22.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Forbidden Fire
Doncaster · 13:15 · 9 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 12 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Huscal
Sandown · 16:22 · 6 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:03, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatListed
Varzi
Doncaster · 13:15 · 9 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 26% last 14 days.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.50)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
The Quiet Gent
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 17/2 (9.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatGroup 2
Epic Poet
Doncaster · 15:00 · 7 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
23 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Nochebuena
Doncaster · 15:35 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMHurdleMAIDEN
Bell Ex Too
Ballinrobe · 15:24 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite
16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 21lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+147% better than SP · +19.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGHurdleMAIDEN
Divine Believer
Ballinrobe · 15:24 · 13 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. Career-high OR unavailable.
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 10 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Corsican Caper
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Rogue Citation
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Ladbrokes · Coral · Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+82% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMChaseHANDICAP
Mo Ghille Mar
Ballinrobe · 18:40 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 8/1
22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 22lb. Career-high OR 110.
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rare Change
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 9lb below career-high OR 91.
Previously on record
Alerted 16 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-23% better than SP · -2.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sergeant Pep
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Tenbob Tommy
Salisbury · 16:51 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Cilician
Sandown · 15:47 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.
• Trainer in form. 27% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Always Perfect
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Betano · Dragon Bet · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Moe's Legacy
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 4 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Fanciulla Del West
Salisbury · 18:28 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +13.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
On Edge
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 10/1
Still 11/1 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Hint Of Humour
Sandown · 14:36 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betano
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Tipsy Tiger
Sandown · 17:32 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 12lb. 2lb below career-high OR 78.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +5.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Beaune
Chester · 17:03 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/2 on Good To Soft.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +0.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:33, 11 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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