At 08:12 on 11 September 2026, 22 bookmakers cut Ghisa from 11/2 to 4/1 in the 16:28 at Chester. At the time of the alert, 11/2 was still available at Smarkets and Hollywood Bets. The race returned an SP of 4.50, making the alert price +47% better than SP, or +7.1 probability points. It won by 0.3.
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Chester · 16:28 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
22 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
Previously on record
Alerted 26 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+47% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Fired 08:12, 11 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
08:12 on 11 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
22 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
11/2 at Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good To Firm. First run on this going.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 4.50 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
