Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 12 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Approaching Dawn

Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/7 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 24 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:07, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN

Game Character

Doncaster · 13:10 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 16 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · 7Bet · Betano · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

7 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+51% better than SP · +9.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:58, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Kindest Nation

Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-20% better than SP · -1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:52, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Rotelle

Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:46, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1

Quest For Stars

Leopardstown · 14:45 · 9 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · William Hill · Betfred · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets

15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 12 Aug · won

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -3.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:34, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1

Green Dreamer

Leopardstown · 14:45 · 9 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

13/2 → 6/1

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets

16 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:25, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Walking On Clouds

Lingfield (AW) · 18:17 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

7 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Lingfield (AW). 1/4 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 18 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 12:25, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Stintino Sunset

Bath · 13:20 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

11 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 23 Aug · placed

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/4 (3.35)
SP: 2.50
Beat SP: Yes
+34% better than SP · +10.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:52, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Tawajjah

Doncaster · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Unibet · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom

18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+44% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:52, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Bankatary

Lingfield (AW) · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 11/2

Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+1% better than SP · +0.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:49, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1

Christmas Day

Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 1 firm when alerted
Boyle Sports

6 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 2.75
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:49, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Three Yorkshiremen

Bath · 13:20 · 7 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook

19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:49, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 1

Pikachu

Leopardstown · 14:45 · 9 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

Still 14/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets

16 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Dowman

Bath · 15:08 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 29 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 8/1 (8.80)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +2.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:46, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Yousaynothingatall

Leopardstown · 17:35 · 21 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · won

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:43, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Turpin

Lingfield (AW) · 14:50 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 15/2

25 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 1 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:31, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Shes Got The Blues

Bath · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Unibet · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets

19 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 7 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:25, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1

Enceladus

Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

5/2 → 9/4

Still 5/2 at 15 firms when alerted
Betfred · BetMGM · Unibet · William Hill · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

4 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time p.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:25, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Be An Angel

Bath · 16:20 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet

13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 24 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:22, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN

Able Tasman

Bath · 14:30 · 12 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

14 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:22, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatListed

Plage De Havre

Chester · 13:30 · 6 runners · Listed

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betano · BetTom

17 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 11:19, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

Isaac Newton

Leopardstown · 16:25 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Leopardstown. 1/3 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +8.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:52, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Vegasmile

Musselburgh · 16:42 · 9 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Midnite · Quinn Bet

12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 25 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +10.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:49, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Evanesco

Leopardstown · 17:35 · 21 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

18 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:49, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Mezcala

Doncaster · 16:15 · 17 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

17 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -5.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:43, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN

Hmas Perth

Doncaster · 13:10 · 10 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

20 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (4.80)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:28, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Lovers Leap

Lingfield (AW) · 17:47 · 4 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/4 → 6/5

Still 7/4 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet

17 firms had already cut to 6/5 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 10% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 3
Alert price: 7/4 (2.75)
SP: 2.25
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +8.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:28, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Neat And Tidy

Bath · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 24 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+41% better than SP · +3.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:28, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN

Biscaysian

Bath · 14:30 · 12 runners · Maiden

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · Bet365 · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

16 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+63% better than SP · +9.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:25, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Freedom Bay

Bath · 17:37 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · Hollywood Bets

20 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Bath. 1/1 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 27 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+27% better than SP · +3.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:25, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Book Of Life

Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 8 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet

16 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 2 Sept · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/2 (5.30)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-18% better than SP · -3.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:19, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Hale Bopp

Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 5/1

Still 11/2 at 5 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook

15 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 6lb. 8lb below career-high OR 50.

Previously on record

Alerted 27 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:19, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Impartiality

Chester · 15:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 4/1

Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 30 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 10:19, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 GAMBLE FORMING · MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Simiyann

Bath · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 9/2

Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Coral · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets

24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 11 Aug · lost

Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.

Permanent record · Fired 10:10, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Towelontheterrace

Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet

11 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

• Chester. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:58, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Fern Clyde

Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 10/1

Still 11/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Coral · William Hill · Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 17.00
Beat SP: No
-29% better than SP · -2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:55, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Sunriseontheboyne

Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

Still 7/2 at 8 firms when alerted
William Hill · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power

11 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 10lb below career-high OR 84.

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 2 Sept · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +6.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:52, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Zarco

Lingfield (AW) · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
William Hill · Hollywood Bets

25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +2.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:49, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Our Nicola

Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

18/1 → 12/1

Still 18/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook

24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 18/1 (19.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+46% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Law Of Average

Lingfield (AW) · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Lingfield (AW). 1/2 at this course.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 12 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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