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Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 12 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Law Of Average
Lingfield (AW) · 16:00 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 1/2 at this course.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:46, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Desert Charm
Bath · 17:37 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:43, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Kaori
Lingfield (AW) · 17:47 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 8lb. 2lb below career-high OR 72.
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:43, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
The Resdev Scholar
Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Paddy Power · Smarkets · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Quinn Bet · Matchbook
4 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:40, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Perigord Noir
Bath · 15:08 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
William Hill
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +4.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:40, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Sergei Diaghilev
Doncaster · 13:45 · 5 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · Betano · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +11.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:37, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Vafortino
Leopardstown · 14:10 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betano
14 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:34, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Thunder Run
Doncaster · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/2 → 11/4
Still 7/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets
15 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:34, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Penelope's Sister
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:31, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1
Item
Leopardstown · 17:00 · 8 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
9/4 → 2/1
Still 9/4 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · William Hill · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
10 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/4 (3.25)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +2.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:28, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Style Of Life
Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 6lb. 2lb below career-high OR 77.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · placed
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
Permanent record · Fired 09:28, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatGroup 1
True Love
Leopardstown · 15:55 · 9 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Leopardstown. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/1 (9.80)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:25, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Sunshine And Roses
Lingfield (AW) · 17:47 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 28 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 2
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+70% better than SP · +8.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:22, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Muy Muy Loco
Lingfield (AW) · 14:50 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom
18 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Lingfield (AW). 2/13 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:19, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fast Fred
Musselburgh · 18:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 10/3
Still 4/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
14 firms had already cut to 10/3 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 4/1 (5.00)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:19, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
James Choice
Lingfield (AW) · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 10 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
5 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 11/4 (3.70)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +7.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:13, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dark Mandate
Lingfield (AW) · 16:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +1.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:13, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Wrestling Revenue
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 13/2
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 12lb below career-high OR 66.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:06, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Black Storm
Musselburgh · 18:20 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/2 (3.50)
SP: 3.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Ski Angel
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
24 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/9 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+52% better than SP · +6.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:00, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Royal Strike
Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 23% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 10/3 (4.30)
SP: 3.75
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:57, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Revich
Bath · 13:20 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 13lb. 26lb below career-high OR 83.
• Unproven at 1m3½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -1.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:54, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Quick Quasar
Lingfield (AW) · 16:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
Still 12/1 at 2 firms when alerted
BetTom · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 25 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+37% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:51, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Holy See
Chester · 14:05 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 12 firms when alerted
Unibet · Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · BetTom · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betano · Midnite
15 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Wyman
Leopardstown · 17:35 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Leopardstown. 1/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 21
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:48, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Dance Fantasy
Lingfield (AW) · 16:35 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power
17 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
• First-time t.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 2lb below career-high OR 66.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 13/2 (7.60)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:45, 12 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Cannes
Leopardstown · 17:35 · 21 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
William Hill · Bet Victor · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Betano
19 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Leopardstown. 1/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+60% better than SP · +9.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:42, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Espanita
Lingfield (AW) · 17:47 · 4 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
24 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.55)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +12.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:39, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatListed
Ibelieveicanfly
Leopardstown · 13:35 · 10 runners · Listed
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 14 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Quinn Bet
6 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Boxing Great
Musselburgh · 18:50 · 7 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/8 → 13/8
Still 15/8 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · William Hill · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 13/8 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/8 (2.88)
SP: 1.83
Beat SP: Yes
+57% better than SP · +19.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:36, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Baarberini
Bath · 14:30 · 12 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/4 → 11/10
Still 5/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Smarkets
4 firms had already cut to 11/10 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/4 (2.28)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: No
-24% better than SP · -10.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ GAMBLE FORMING · LOWFlatHANDICAP
Cloudy Rose
Bath · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 17/2
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · 10 Bet
21 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 29 Aug · lost
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Mart
Lingfield (AW) · 18:17 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 3/1
Still 10/3 at 12 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · William Hill · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
9 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 30% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-13% better than SP · -3.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:30, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 GAMBLE FORMING · MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
La Trinite
Bath · 15:45 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 2m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 1 Sept · lost
Result pending. Graded against SP and Betfair SP once the result lands.
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Haveyoumissedme
Chester · 17:42 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 9/2
Still 11/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
20 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 23lb. 2lb below career-high OR 76.
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+56% better than SP · +7.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:24, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Pace Attack
Lingfield (AW) · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · 10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
• Trainer in form. 24% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/4 (3.75)
SP: 2.88
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Falcon Queen
Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 8 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+83% better than SP · +7.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:21, 12 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2
Desert Castle
Doncaster · 13:45 · 5 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
4/6 → 4/7
Still 4/6 at 8 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power
8 firms had already cut to 4/7 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 33% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 7 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/5 (1.78)
SP: 2.00
Beat SP: No
-11% better than SP · -6.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:18, 12 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Eagles Dream
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
Still 16/1 at 3 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
20 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.
RESULT
NON-RUNNER
Alert price: 16/1 (17.00)
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 12 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Captain Fox
Lingfield (AW) · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 17/2
Still 12/1 at 7 firms when alerted
William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · Dragon Bet · Hollywood Bets · Smarkets
18 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Lingfield (AW). 1/2 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m4f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 19 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 12/1 (14.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +0.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 08:15, 12 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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