Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 13 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP

Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.

Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Spirited Dancer

Bath · 17:00 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill

24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 5f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 6 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

High Degree

Curragh · 17:45 · 22 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time b.

• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 16 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+73% better than SP · +9.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Boilermaker

Bath · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/4 → 2/1

Still 9/4 at 12 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Unibet · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · Midnite · Paddy Power

9 firms had already cut to 2/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 26 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.45)
SP: 2.38
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +13.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Langstone

Doncaster · 14:30 · 14 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/2 → 7/2

24 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.

RESULT
LOST · finished 11
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: No
-25% better than SP · -5.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Jackie Brown

Bath · 17:00 · 13 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 1 firm when alerted
BetTom

23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Bath. 1/3 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 2 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-6% better than SP · -0.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Chelio

Bath · 18:00 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 13 Aug · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 13 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Supremissy

Musselburgh · 19:20 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/1 → 8/1

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/1 at this course.

Risks

• Up 6lb. 1lb below career-high OR 56.

Previously on record

Alerted 8 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 19:18, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Masaban

Musselburgh · 18:20 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/2 → 4/1

Still 9/2 at 16 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet

9 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 30% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 8 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/1 (5.80)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +5.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 18:17, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Suzie Songs

Leopardstown · 18:10 · 18 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 6/1

24 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 13lb. 6lb below career-high OR 104.

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 4
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:56, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Iconic Dawn

Lingfield (AW) · 18:17 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

13/2 → 11/2

Still 13/2 at 1 firm when alerted
LiveScore Bet

24 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time p.

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:50, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Sigliosa

Chester · 17:42 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 1 firm when alerted
10 Bet

22 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 17lb. 1lb below career-high OR 75.

• Unproven at 1m4½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:38, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Lexington Boom

Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

17/2 → 15/2

Still 17/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 1 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -0.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 17:14, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatGroup 1

A Boy Named Susie

Leopardstown · 17:00 · 8 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · Virgin Bet

20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 16 Aug · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +1.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:59, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Honky Tonk Girl

Lingfield (AW) · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 8/1

Still 10/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets

22 firms had already cut to 8/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +0.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:38, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Arvana Belle

Bath · 17:05 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · Midnite · Quinn Bet

5 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 21 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:32, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Credit Forgedd It

Lingfield (AW) · 17:15 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

4/1 → 7/2

Still 4/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

18 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 15 Aug · lost

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 5/1 (6.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:23, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Macarone

Bath · 16:20 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 7/1

Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · 10 Bet

21 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 5½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 27 Aug · won

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:17, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

City Of Poets

Doncaster · 16:48 · 12 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 13 Aug · won

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (7.00)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+17% better than SP · +2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:11, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Crazee Icon

Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet

5 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 3 to Class 4.

• Chester. 2/3 at this course.

Risks

• Up 8lb. Career-high OR 80.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 3/1 (3.90)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +5.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 16:05, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Yermanthere

Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

25 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 7lb. 8lb below career-high OR 81.

Previously on record

Alerted 1 Sept · won

RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:53, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1

Precise

Leopardstown · 15:55 · 9 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

11/4 → 5/2

Still 11/4 at 7 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · 10 Bet · BetTom · Matchbook · Betano · BetWright

20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 10/3 (4.33)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+8% better than SP · +1.9 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:38, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Eagle Bay

Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Chester. 1/2 at this course.

• Trainer in form. 22% last 14 days.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+21% better than SP · +2.5 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:38, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Box To Box

Chester · 15:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

5/1 → 9/2

Still 5/1 at 15 firms when alerted
Unibet · Bet Victor · Boyle Sports · Star Sports · Midnite · Matchbook · 10 Bet · Betano · BetTom · BetWright · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet

10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +4.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:35, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Orange Emperor

Lingfield (AW) · 16:35 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Betfred · Unibet · William Hill · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom

10 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · top 50% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 5 to Class 6.

Previously on record

Alerted 2 Sept · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+36% better than SP · +4.8 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:32, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Melodical

Lingfield (AW) · 15:23 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet

16 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 8lb. 4lb below career-high OR 62.

• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+71% better than SP · +6.0 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:20, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP

Star People

Musselburgh · 17:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/2 → 3/1

12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 77.

Previously on record

Alerted 1 Sept · placed

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 3/1 (4.00)
SP: 3.00
Beat SP: Yes
+33% better than SP · +8.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:14, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 1

Pierre Bonnard

Doncaster · 15:35 · 11 runners · Group 1

THE MOVE

10/3 → 3/1

Still 10/3 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · BetMGM · Unibet · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · 7Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Smarkets

12 firms had already cut to 3/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 19 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 7/2 (4.60)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +3.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:11, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Minaun View

Musselburgh · 17:50 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

10/1 → 17/2

Still 10/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power · Smarkets

20 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Risks

• Unproven at 1m1f. 0 previous runs at this trip.

Previously on record

Alerted 1 Sept · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 10/1 (11.50)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+35% better than SP · +3.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 15:08, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Knock Three Times

Bath · 15:08 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

8/1 → 13/2

Still 8/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom

24 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+29% better than SP · +3.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:56, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatGroup 3

Sons And Lovers

Leopardstown · 15:15 · 10 runners · Group 3

THE MOVE

14/1 → 10/1

24 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Leopardstown. 1/2 at this course.

Risks

• Up 7lb. Career-high OR 114.

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 15.00
Beat SP: No
-27% better than SP · -2.4 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:44, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

Never So Brave

Doncaster · 14:55 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

17/2 → 15/2

Still 17/2 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · Unibet · Betano · BetWright

19 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 15 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 17/2 (9.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+58% better than SP · +6.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:37, 12 Sept 2026

🔵 TOPFlatGroup 2

More Thunder

Doncaster · 14:55 · 8 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

1/1 → 4/5

Still 1/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

6 firms had already cut to 4/5 when alerted

Selection rating

Top · top 20% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Trainer in form. 28% last 14 days.

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 1/1 (1.98)
SP: 1.80
Beat SP: Yes
+10% better than SP · +5.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:34, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Underdog

Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

14/1 → 11/1

24 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.

RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-8% better than SP · -0.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:28, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Quillan

Chester · 15:20 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

9/1 → 15/2

Still 9/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Unibet

22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.

RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:25, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2

Expanded

Leopardstown · 16:25 · 7 runners · Group 2

THE MOVE

12/1 → 10/1

Still 12/1 at 6 firms when alerted
BetMGM · Unibet · 10 Bet · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Quinn Bet

18 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• First-time p.

RESULT
LOST · finished PU
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 10.00
Beat SP: Yes
+30% better than SP · +2.3 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:04, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Air Force One

Doncaster · 14:20 · 21 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

12/1 → 9/1

Still 12/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet Victor · Star Sports · 10 Bet · BetTom

18 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 5% of alerts today

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · lost

RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+100% better than SP · +7.7 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 14:01, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Hebridean Nomad

Lingfield (AW) · 14:15 · 10 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

7/1 → 6/1

Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom

17 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Lingfield (AW). 1/3 at this course.

• Trainer in form. 21% last 14 days.

Previously on record

Alerted 22 Aug · placed

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+20% better than SP · +2.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:19, 12 Sept 2026

🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP

Apache Outlaw

Chester · 17:10 · 9 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

6/1 → 5/1

Still 6/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet

14 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted

Selection rating

Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today

RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 13/2 (7.40)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.2 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:13, 12 Sept 2026

⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP

Spartan Times

Chester · 17:42 · 11 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
10 Bet · BetTom

23 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Low · bottom 10% of alerts today

Risks

• Up 16lb. 33lb below career-high OR 105.

RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +1.6 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:10, 12 Sept 2026

🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP

Approaching Dawn

Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap

THE MOVE

15/2 → 13/2

Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook

21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted

Selection rating

Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today

Why it rates

• Musselburgh. 1/7 at this course.

Previously on record

Alerted 24 Aug · lost

RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.1 probability points

Permanent record · Fired 13:07, 12 Sept 2026

How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

Search HorseWhale horse records · Read the grading methodology · How to check if a horse was backed

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