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Approaching Dawn · Musselburgh 16:07
Published 12 September 2026 · Updated 12 September 2026 · HorseWhale
At 13:07 on 12 September 2026, 21 bookmakers cut Approaching Dawn from 15/2 to 13/2 in the 16:07 at Musselburgh. At the time of the alert, 15/2 was still available at Matchbook. The race returned an SP of 8.50, making the alert price -1% better than SP, or -0.1 probability points. It finished 7 of 8, beaten 15.25 lengths.
Graded receipt
🟡 MEDIUM Flat HANDICAP
Musselburgh · 16:07 · 8 runners · Handicap
Still 15/2 at 1 firm when alerted
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 24 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-1% better than SP · -0.1 probability points
Fired 13:07, 12 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
13:07 on 12 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
21 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
15/2 at Matchbook
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Musselburgh. 1/7 at this course.
Outcome and grade
LOST · SP: 8.50 · Beat SP: No
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
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