HorseWhaleHorseWhale

Receipts

Every alert we have ever sent, timestamped and graded against SP and Betfair SP. Including the ones that didn't come off.

Published 6 August 2026 · Updated 14 September 2026 · HorseWhale

8224 alerts since 9 August 2026 · avg +3.6 probability points vs SP · 72% beat SP
Probability points measure how much better a price was than SP in terms of the chance it implies, so a move at 2/1 and a move at 50/1 are measured on the same scale.
Current detection ruleset in force since 9 August 2026. Alerts sent under earlier rules remain in the archive and are excluded from these figures.

Browse the archive

🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Electric Bass
Windsor · 16:42 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/3 → 11/4
Still 10/3 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
18 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/2 (4.70)
SP: 4.00
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Macedonian
Thirsk · 15:51 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 6 firms when alerted
Betfred · Boyle Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Quinn Bet · Smarkets
11 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 20% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 9/2 (5.70)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+14% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 14 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Fractional
Thirsk · 16:51 · 9 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/2 → 9/4
Still 5/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Trainer in form. 25% last 14 days.
Risks
• Up 7lb. 13lb below career-high OR 83.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 5/2 (3.60)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: No
-28% better than SP · -7.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 07:30, 14 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Sixtygeesbaby
Doncaster · 17:20 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Betfred · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 16
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+32% better than SP · +3.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:18, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Miraculous
Doncaster · 17:20 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 14
Alert price: 8/1 (9.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 17:15, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatGroup 2
Timeforshowcasing
Curragh · 17:10 · 10 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
12/1 → 9/1
24 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m2f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 9.00
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:57, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatMAIDEN
Romidijo
Bath · 16:25 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Star Sports · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · BetTom · Hollywood Bets
13 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• First-time v.
Risks
• Good To Soft vs Good. Career record: 0/2 on Good To Soft.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 5/1 (6.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+13% better than SP · +2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 16:21, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Kinetic Force
Doncaster · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 13/2
25 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 9lb. 7lb below career-high OR 87.
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:54, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatGroup 1
Folsom Blues
Curragh · 16:00 · 8 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
13/2 → 9/2
22 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 9 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.8 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:54, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Rock Of England
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/2 → 5/1
Still 11/2 at 4 firms when alerted
Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets
21 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 31 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+24% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:39, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Belle Of Kt
Bath · 15:15 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
15/2 → 13/2
Still 15/2 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/1 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 10
Alert price: 15/2 (8.60)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +1.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 15:09, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Say What You See
Doncaster · 15:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Betfred · Star Sports · William Hill · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · 7Bet · Betfair Sportsbook · BetTom · BetWright · Dragon Bet · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-9% better than SP · -1.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:51, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Ernst Blofeld
Doncaster · 15:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetTom · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+23% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:51, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Launceston
Bath · 14:05 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · BetWright
23 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 8/1 (9.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+64% better than SP · +7.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:24, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Jer Batt
Doncaster · 13:25 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
17/2 → 15/2
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 3.
Previously on record
Alerted 5 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +3.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 13:15, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Galactic Glow
Bath · 14:05 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
13/2 → 6/1
Still 13/2 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet
20 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 2 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+26% better than SP · +3.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:54, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 2
Red Letter
Curragh · 17:10 · 10 runners · Group 2
THE MOVE
13/2 → 11/2
22 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Curragh. 1/4 at this course.
• First-time t.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 11/2 (6.50)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: No
-7% better than SP · -1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 12:09, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 1
Giant Sequoia
Curragh · 16:00 · 8 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
9/2 → 4/1
Still 9/2 at 7 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · William Hill · 10 Bet · Smarkets · Matchbook
18 firms had already cut to 4/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Curragh. 2/3 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · won
RESULT
LOST · finished 6
Alert price: 9/2 (5.50)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+22% better than SP · +4.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1
Sun Goddess
Curragh · 14:50 · 6 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
8/11 → 8/13
Still 8/11 at 6 firms when alerted
Unibet · BetWright · Matchbook · Smarkets · Betfair Sportsbook · Paddy Power
5 firms had already cut to 8/13 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Curragh. 3/3 at this course.
Risks
• Unproven at 7f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · won
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/5 (1.80)
SP: 1.57
Beat SP: Yes
+15% better than SP · +8.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:54, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Dancing In Paris
Doncaster · 15:40 · 8 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Smarkets · Matchbook
22 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 25% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 1m6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 15/2 (8.40)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: No
-12% better than SP · -1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:45, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
Big Hitter
Bath · 16:25 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
4/6 → 8/15
Still 4/6 at 8 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Virgin Bet · BetWright
4 firms had already cut to 8/15 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time t.
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 8/11 (1.70)
SP: 1.62
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +2.9 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 11:06, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatGroup 1
Alpha
Curragh · 14:50 · 6 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
6/1 → 5/1
Still 6/1 at 3 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 5/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Curragh. 1/2 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: No
-15% better than SP · -2.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:36, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatGroup 3
Touleen
Doncaster · 15:05 · 19 runners · Group 3
THE MOVE
11/4 → 5/2
Still 11/4 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
20 firms had already cut to 5/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 30% of alerts today
Why it rates
• First-time p.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 10/3 (4.20)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:33, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Smart Vision
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:24, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Shifra
Bath · 14:05 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Risks
• Up 6lb. Career-high OR 52.
Previously on record
Alerted 11 Aug · placed
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 4/1 (5.10)
SP: 4.33
Beat SP: Yes
+18% better than SP · +3.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Mo of Cairo
Doncaster · 17:20 · 16 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
8/1 → 15/2
Still 8/1 at 7 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Hollywood Bets
23 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 2 to Class 4.
• First run after wind surgery.
Risks
• Up 10lb. 5lb below career-high OR 84.
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 9/1 (10.50)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+11% better than SP · +1.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:21, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Emerald Harmony
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
12/1 → 10/1
25 firms had already cut to 10/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 14 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 11.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Oliver Show
Doncaster · 13:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
9/1 → 15/2
Still 9/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
24 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Trainer in form. 20% last 14 days.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +2.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:18, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Clear Horizon
Bath · 14:40 · 11 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
14/1 → 11/1
Still 14/1 at 5 firms when alerted
Bet365 · William Hill · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
17 firms had already cut to 11/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 6.
Risks
• Unproven at 1m. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 17 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 5
Alert price: 14/1 (15.00)
SP: 8.50
Beat SP: Yes
+76% better than SP · +5.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:09, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Lakers
Doncaster · 13:55 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
11/1 → 9/1
Still 11/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
23 firms had already cut to 9/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 10% of alerts today
Risks
• Unproven at 6½f. 0 previous runs at this trip.
Previously on record
Alerted 30 Aug · placed
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 11/1 (12.50)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
-4% better than SP · -0.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 10:03, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Wechaad
Doncaster · 14:30 · 14 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
3/1 → 11/4
Still 3/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Betfred · Coral · Ladbrokes · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · 10 Bet · BetTom · BetWright · Midnite
11 firms had already cut to 11/4 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/2 (4.50)
SP: 3.25
Beat SP: Yes
+38% better than SP · +8.5 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:57, 13 Sept 2026
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Amadeus Mozart
Curragh · 17:45 · 22 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
7/1 → 6/1
Still 7/1 at 2 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets
21 firms had already cut to 6/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 7
Alert price: 7/1 (8.20)
SP: 7.50
Beat SP: Yes
+9% better than SP · +1.1 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:54, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Kev
Bath · 14:05 · 12 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 13 firms when alerted
Boyle Sports · Coral · Ladbrokes · William Hill · Smarkets · Matchbook · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Paddy Power · Quinn Bet · Virgin Bet
9 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · won
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 6/1 (6.80)
SP: 6.50
Beat SP: Yes
+5% better than SP · +0.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:51, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatMAIDEN
On The Queue Tee
Bath · 16:25 · 7 runners · Maiden
THE MOVE
8/1 → 7/1
22 firms had already cut to 7/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 5% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
RESULT
PLACED · finished 2
Alert price: 7/1 (8.00)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+45% better than SP · +5.7 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:48, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatHANDICAP
Hiya Maite
Doncaster · 16:15 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
10/1 → 17/2
Still 10/1 at 1 firm when alerted
Matchbook
25 firms had already cut to 17/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 10/1 (11.00)
SP: 9.50
Beat SP: Yes
+16% better than SP · +1.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:45, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Mortubo
Bath · 15:50 · 17 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
4/1 → 7/2
Still 4/1 at 10 firms when alerted
Coral · Ladbrokes · Star Sports · Unibet · Matchbook · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · LiveScore Bet · Midnite · Virgin Bet
11 firms had already cut to 7/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Bath. 1/1 at this course.
RESULT
LOST · finished 9
Alert price: 5/1 (5.90)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+7% better than SP · +1.2 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 13 Sept 2026
⚪ LOWFlatGroup 1
Florida Bay
Curragh · 16:00 · 8 runners · Group 1
THE MOVE
16/1 → 12/1
24 firms had already cut to 12/1 when alerted
Selection rating
Low · bottom 5% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 22 Aug · placed
RESULT
PLACED · finished 3
Alert price: 12/1 (13.00)
SP: 13.00
Beat SP: No
+0% better than SP · +0.0 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:39, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Duran
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Betfred · Matchbook · Smarkets
17 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · top 50% of alerts today
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 5.00
Beat SP: Yes
+28% better than SP · +4.4 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 13 Sept 2026
🔵 TOPFlatHANDICAP
Outer Edge
Bath · 17:00 · 13 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
5/1 → 9/2
Still 5/1 at 11 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Matchbook · 10 Bet · BetTom · LiveScore Bet · Quinn Bet · Smarkets · Virgin Bet
10 firms had already cut to 9/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 27 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 11/2 (6.40)
SP: 4.50
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +6.6 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:36, 13 Sept 2026
🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Footstepinthewoods
Bath · 17:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
THE MOVE
6/1 → 11/2
Still 6/1 at 9 firms when alerted
Bet365 · Star Sports · Unibet · William Hill · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom · Midnite
19 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Previously on record
Alerted 21 Aug · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 13/2 (7.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+25% better than SP · +3.3 probability points
Permanent record · Fired 09:33, 13 Sept 2026
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How these receipts are graded

Each alert is graded on price captured, not on win or loss. Once the race is run, the alerted price is compared against the official Starting Price and the Betfair Starting Price. A receipt passes when the alerted price beat SP. The result of the race — won, placed, unplaced — is shown as a secondary detail on every card.

Nothing on this page is edited after publication. Alerts that did not beat SP stay up exactly as alerts that did. Full grading methodology →

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