🟢 STRONGFlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 18:30 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 6/1 at 4 firms when alerted
Betfred · Smarkets · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook
12 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Strong · bottom 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• First-time v.
Previously on record
Alerted 13 Sept · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 8
Alert price: 6/1 (7.20)
SP: 5.50
Beat SP: Yes
+31% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
🟡 MEDIUMFlatHANDICAP
Doncaster · 16:50 · 10 runners · Handicap
Still 9/1 at 5 firms when alerted
BetMGM · BetTom · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · Smarkets
22 firms had already cut to 15/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Medium · bottom 15% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Doncaster. 1/7 at this course.
Previously on record
Alerted 20 Aug · lost
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 9/1 (10.00)
SP: 7.00
Beat SP: Yes
+43% better than SP · +4.3 probability points
FlatHANDICAP
Newcastle (AW) · 20:24 · 13 runners · Handicap
Still 13/2 at 3 firms when alerted
Matchbook · Smarkets · BetTom
21 firms had already cut to 11/2 when alerted
RESULT
LOST · finished 4
Alert price: 7/1 (7.80)
SP: 8.00
Beat SP: No
-3% better than SP · -0.3 probability points