At 08:09 on 18 September 2026, 19 bookmakers cut Empirestateofmind from 7/1 to 13/2 in the 16:15 at Ayr. At the time of the alert, 7/1 was still available at Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Hollywood Bets, Matchbook and 10 Bet. The race returned an SP of 6.00, making the alert price +42% better than SP, or +4.9 probability points. It won by 1.
🔵 TOP Flat HANDICAP
Ayr · 16:15 · 11 runners · Handicap
Still 7/1 at 7 firms when alerted
19 firms had already cut to 13/2 when alerted
Selection rating
Top · top 40% of alerts today
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Ayr. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 23lb below career-high OR 90.
Previously on record
Alerted 6 Sept · lost
RESULT
WON · finished 1
Alert price: 15/2 (8.50)
SP: 6.00
Beat SP: Yes
+42% better than SP · +4.9 probability points
Fired 08:09, 18 Sept 2026
What this record shows
This is a permanent HorseWhale record of a qualifying market-movement alert. It records the observed event and what happened next; it is not a recommendation or a prediction of the race result.
Alert recorded
08:09 on 18 September 2026
Qualifying bookmaker movement
19 bookmakers had cut when alerted
Earlier price still recorded
7/1 at Coral · Ladbrokes · Paddy Power · Betfair Sportsbook · Hollywood Bets · Matchbook · 10 Bet
Context at the time
Why it rates
• Down in class. Class 4 to Class 5.
• Ayr. 1/1 at this course.
Risks
• Up 11lb. 23lb below career-high OR 90.
Outcome and grade
WON · SP: 6.00 · Beat SP: Yes
A recorded price cut does not identify individual bettors, bet size, bookmaker liabilities or the reason for the move. A horse can have a recorded move and still lose.
